Fa529 Gr Mutual Fund Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

FGDPX Fund  USD 45.16  0.51  1.14%   
Fa529 Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Fa529 Gr stock prices and determine the direction of Fa529 Gr Op's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Fa529 Gr historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out fundamental analysis of Fa529 Gr to check your projections.
  
Most investors in Fa529 Gr cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Fa529 Gr's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Fa529 Gr's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Fa529 Gr Op is based on a synthetically constructed Fa529 Grdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Fa529 Gr 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of September

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Fa529 Gr Op on the next trading day is expected to be 46.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.17, mean absolute percentage error of 1.79, and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.12.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fa529 Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fa529 Gr's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Fa529 Gr Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Fa529 Gr Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Fa529 Gr's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fa529 Gr's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 45.32 and 47.50, respectively. We have considered Fa529 Gr's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 45.16
46.41
Expected Value
47.50
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fa529 Gr mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fa529 Gr mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria81.9357
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.7234
MADMean absolute deviation1.1737
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0254
SAESum of the absolute errors48.122
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Fa529 Gr Op 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Fa529 Gr

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fa529 Gr Op. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fa529 Gr's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Fa529 Gr in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
44.0745.1646.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
44.5645.6546.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
44.2546.5548.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fa529 Gr. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fa529 Gr's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fa529 Gr's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fa529 Gr Op.

Other Forecasting Options for Fa529 Gr

For every potential investor in Fa529, whether a beginner or expert, Fa529 Gr's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fa529 Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fa529. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fa529 Gr's price trends.

Fa529 Gr Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fa529 Gr mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fa529 Gr could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fa529 Gr by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
VANGUARD TOTAL STOCKVANGUARD TOTAL STOCKVANGUARD TOTAL STOCKVANGUARD TOTAL STOCKVANGUARD TOTAL STOCKVANGUARD 500 INDEXVANGUARD 500 INDEXVANGUARD 500 INDEXVANGUARD TOTAL INTERVANGUARD TOTAL INTERAmerican AirlinesAlcoa CorpApple IncBest BuyCitigroup
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fa529 Gr Op Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Fa529 Gr's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Fa529 Gr's current price.

Fa529 Gr Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fa529 Gr's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fa529 Gr's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Fa529 Gr stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Fa529 Gr without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Fa529 Gr Op using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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Check out fundamental analysis of Fa529 Gr to check your projections. You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.

Complementary Tools for Fa529 Mutual Fund analysis

When running Fa529 Gr's price analysis, check to measure Fa529 Gr's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fa529 Gr is operating at the current time. Most of Fa529 Gr's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fa529 Gr's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fa529 Gr's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fa529 Gr to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Fa529 Gr's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fa529 Gr is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fa529 Gr's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
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