Fa529 Gr Mutual Fund Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Fa529 Gr works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Fa529 Gr Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 11th of June 2023

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fa529 Gr Op on the next trading day is expected to be 45.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36, mean absolute percentage error of 0.20, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.11.

Fa529 Gr Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Fa529 Gr Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fa529 Gr mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fa529 Gr mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. When Fa529 Gr Op prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Fa529 Gr Op trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Fa529 Gr observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Fa529 Gr

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fa529 Gr Op. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 43.99 45.09 46.19 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 40.58 48.25 49.35 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 42.48 44.27 46.06 Details

Other Forecasting Options for Fa529 Gr

For every potential investor in Fa529, whether a beginner or expert, Fa529 Gr's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fa529 Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fa529. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fa529 Gr's price trends.

Fa529 Gr Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Fa529 Gr Op Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Fa529 Gr's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Fa529 Gr's current price.

Fa529 Gr Risk Indicators

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Complementary Tools for Fa529 Mutual Fund analysis

Please note, there is a significant difference between Fa529 Gr's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fa529 Gr is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fa529 Gr's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party. $(function(){ //alert('FGDPX'); displaySymbolSentimentChart('FGDPX','sentimentChart'); });