# Fa529 Gr Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

FGDPX Fund | USD 39.35 0.96 1.82% |

Fa529 Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Fa529 Gr historical stock prices and determine the direction of Fa529 Gr Op's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Fa529 Gr historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.

Check out Investing Opportunities. Fa529 |

Most investors in Fa529 Gr cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Fa529 Gr's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Fa529 Gr's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.

Fa529 Gr simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Fa529 Gr Op are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Fa529 Gr Op prices get older. ## Fa529 Gr Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of April

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fa529 Gr Op on the next trading day is expected to be 40.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50, mean absolute percentage error of 0.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.80.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fa529 Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fa529 Gr's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

## Fa529 Gr Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

## Fa529 Gr Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Fa529 Gr's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fa529 Gr's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 38.70 and 41.70, respectively. We have considered Fa529 Gr's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.

## Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fa529 Gr mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fa529 Gr mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.2376 |

Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0767 |

MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4967 |

MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0126 |

SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 29.8 |

## Predictive Modules for Fa529 Gr

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fa529 Gr Op. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fa529 Gr's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Fa529 Gr in the context of predictive analytics.

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fa529 Gr. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fa529 Gr's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fa529 Gr's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Fa529 Gr Op.

## Other Forecasting Options for Fa529 Gr

For every potential investor in Fa529, whether a beginner or expert, Fa529 Gr's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fa529 Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fa529. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fa529 Gr's price trends.## Fa529 Gr Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fa529 Gr mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fa529 Gr could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fa529 Gr by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.

Risk & Return | Correlation |

## Fa529 Gr Op Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Fa529 Gr's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Fa529 Gr's current price.Cycle Indicators | ||

Math Operators | ||

Math Transform | ||

Momentum Indicators | ||

Overlap Studies | ||

Pattern Recognition | ||

Price Transform | ||

Statistic Functions | ||

Volatility Indicators | ||

Volume Indicators |

## Fa529 Gr Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fa529 Gr's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fa529 Gr's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Fa529 Gr stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.

Mean Deviation | 1.25 | |||

Semi Deviation | 1.19 | |||

Standard Deviation | 1.5 | |||

Variance | 2.25 | |||

Downside Variance | 1.88 | |||

Semi Variance | 1.42 | |||

Expected Short fall | (1.53) |

Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Fa529 Gr in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Fa529 Gr's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Fa529 Gr options trading.

## Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Fa529 Gr Op using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.## Build Optimal Portfolios

### Align your risk with return expectations

Check out fundamental analysis of Fa529 Gr to check your projections. You can also try Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

## Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Fa529 Gr Op price analysis, check to measure Fa529 Gr's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fa529 Gr is operating at the current time. Most of Fa529 Gr's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fa529 Gr's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fa529 Gr's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fa529 Gr to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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