Fuller Thaler Mutual Fund Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average
| FTXSX Fund | USD 40.91 0.24 0.58% |
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Fuller Thaler Behavioral on the next trading day is expected to be 42.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.84. Fuller Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Fuller Thaler stock prices and determine the direction of Fuller Thaler Behavioral's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Fuller Thaler's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fuller Thaler to cross-verify your projections. Fuller |
Most investors in Fuller Thaler cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, fund markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Fuller Thaler's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Fuller Thaler's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Fuller Thaler Behavioral is based on a synthetically constructed Fuller Thalerdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time. Fuller Thaler 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 20th of April
Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Fuller Thaler Behavioral on the next trading day is expected to be 42.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.24, mean absolute percentage error of 2.23, and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.84.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fuller Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fuller Thaler's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Fuller Thaler Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
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Fuller Thaler Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Fuller Thaler's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fuller Thaler's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 41.62 and 44.33, respectively. We have considered Fuller Thaler's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fuller Thaler mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fuller Thaler mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 82.1562 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.3148 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2399 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0288 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 50.837 |
Predictive Modules for Fuller Thaler
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fuller Thaler Behavioral. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fuller Thaler's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Fuller Thaler
For every potential investor in Fuller, whether a beginner or expert, Fuller Thaler's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fuller Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fuller. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fuller Thaler's price trends.Fuller Thaler Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fuller Thaler mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fuller Thaler could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fuller Thaler by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fuller Thaler Behavioral Technical and Predictive Analytics
The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Fuller Thaler's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Fuller Thaler's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Fuller Thaler Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fuller Thaler mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fuller Thaler shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fuller Thaler mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Fuller Thaler Behavioral entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 40.91 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 40.91 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.12) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.24) |
Fuller Thaler Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fuller Thaler's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fuller Thaler's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fuller mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Variance | 1.88 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.61 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.19 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.16) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Fuller Thaler in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Fuller Thaler's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Fuller Thaler options trading.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fuller Thaler to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.