Guess Stock Forecast - Market Facilitation Index
| GES Stock | USD 25.56 0.05 0.20% |
Guess Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Guess stock prices and determine the direction of Guess Inc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Guess' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Guess' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Guess' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Guess fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Guess to cross-verify your projections. Guess |
Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Guess Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Guess' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Guess' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Guess stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Guess' open interest, investors have to compare it to Guess' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Guess is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Guess. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Guess cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Guess' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Guess' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Market Facilitation Index is simply a difference between period high and low prices divided by period trading volume.| Check Guess Volatility | Backtest Guess | Information Ratio |
Guess Trading Date Momentum
| On April 19 2024 Guess Inc was traded for 25.56 at the closing time. Highest Guess's price during the trading hours was 25.90 and the lowest price during the day was 25.33 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 19th of April did not cause price change. The overall trading delta to current price is 0.31% . |
Market Facilitation Index was developed by Dr. Bill Williams. This indicator can help to determine either strong or week signal that can follow the current trend line by looking at how Market Facilitation index correlates with trading volume over time.
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Other Forecasting Options for Guess
For every potential investor in Guess, whether a beginner or expert, Guess' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Guess Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Guess. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Guess' price trends.View Guess Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Guess Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Guess' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Guess' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Guess Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Guess stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Guess shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Guess stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Guess Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Guess Risk Indicators
The analysis of Guess' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Guess' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting guess stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.29 | |||
| Variance | 10.85 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.35 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.16 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.05) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Guess Investors Sentiment
The influence of Guess' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Guess. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Guess' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Guess. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Guess can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Guess Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Guess' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Guess' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Guess' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Guess.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Guess in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Guess' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Guess options trading.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Guess to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Guess Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Guess' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Guess Stock analysis
When running Guess' price analysis, check to measure Guess' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guess is operating at the current time. Most of Guess' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guess' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guess' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guess to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Guess' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Guess. If investors know Guess will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Guess listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.295 | Dividend Share 1.125 | Earnings Share 3.09 | Revenue Per Share 52.064 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.09 |
The market value of Guess Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Guess that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Guess' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Guess' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Guess' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Guess' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Guess' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guess is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guess' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.