Global X Etf Forecast - Polynomial Regression

GLCC Etf   26.17  0.28  1.06%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Global X Gold on the next trading day is expected to be 26.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.74 and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.24. Global Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Global X polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Global X Gold as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Global X Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 14th of November 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Global X Gold on the next trading day is expected to be 26.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.74, mean absolute percentage error of 0.81, and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.24.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Global Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Global X's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Global X Etf Forecast Pattern

Global X Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Global X's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Global X's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.34 and 28.22, respectively. We have considered Global X's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
26.17
26.28
Expected Value
28.22
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Global X etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Global X etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.9037
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.7417
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0259
SAESum of the absolute errors45.2418
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Global X historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Global X

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global X Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.5026.4528.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.9424.8926.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
26.6529.6032.54
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Global X

For every potential investor in Global, whether a beginner or expert, Global X's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Global Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Global. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Global X's price trends.

Global X Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Global X etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Global X could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Global X by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Global X Gold Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Global X's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Global X's current price.

Global X Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Global X etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Global X shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Global X etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Global X Gold entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Global X Risk Indicators

The analysis of Global X's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Global X's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting global etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Global X

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Global X position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Global X will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Global Etf

  0.66XIU iShares SPTSX 60PairCorr
  0.61XSP iShares Core SPPairCorr
  0.68XIC iShares Core SPTSXPairCorr

Moving against Global Etf

  0.52TCLB TD Canadian LongPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Global X could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Global X when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Global X - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Global X Gold to buy it.
The correlation of Global X is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Global X moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Global X Gold moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Global X can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Global X Gold offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Global X's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Global X Gold Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Global X Gold Etf:
Check out fundamental analysis of Global X to check your projections.
You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Global X's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global X is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global X's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.