Grupo Televisa Pink Sheet Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

GRPFF Stock  USD 1.15  0.00  0.00%   
Grupo Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Grupo Televisa historical stock prices and determine the direction of Grupo Televisa SAB's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Grupo Televisa historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Please check Historical Fundamental Analysis of Grupo Televisa to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Grupo Televisa cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Grupo Televisa's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Grupo Televisa's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Grupo Televisa SAB is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Grupo Televisa 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Grupo Televisa SAB on the next trading day is expected to be 1.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.015351, mean absolute percentage error of 0.001133, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.87.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Grupo Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Grupo Televisa's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Grupo Televisa Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Grupo Televisa Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Grupo Televisa's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Grupo Televisa's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0115 and 3.48, respectively. We have considered Grupo Televisa's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 1.15
0.0115
Downside
1.15
Expected Value
3.48
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Grupo Televisa pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Grupo Televisa pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.9758
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0066
MADMean absolute deviation0.0154
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0137
SAESum of the absolute errors0.875
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Grupo Televisa. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Grupo Televisa SAB and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Grupo Televisa

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grupo Televisa SAB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Grupo Televisa's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Grupo Televisa in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.061.153.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.061.113.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.001.101.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Grupo Televisa. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Grupo Televisa's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Grupo Televisa's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Grupo Televisa SAB.

Other Forecasting Options for Grupo Televisa

For every potential investor in Grupo, whether a beginner or expert, Grupo Televisa's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Grupo Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Grupo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Grupo Televisa's price trends.

Grupo Televisa Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Grupo Televisa pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Grupo Televisa could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Grupo Televisa by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Verizon CommunicationsATT IncBritvic PLC ADRUnified Series TrustFrasers Centrepoint TrustSkyworks SolutionsBarloworld ADRBC MolyIShares Core SPSHERWIN-WILLIAMS 345American AirlinesAlcoa CorpApple IncBest BuyCitigroup
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Grupo Televisa SAB Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Grupo Televisa's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Grupo Televisa's current price.

Grupo Televisa Risk Indicators

The analysis of Grupo Televisa's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Grupo Televisa's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Grupo Televisa stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Grupo Televisa without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Please check Historical Fundamental Analysis of Grupo Televisa to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Grupo Televisa SAB information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Grupo Televisa's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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When running Grupo Televisa SAB price analysis, check to measure Grupo Televisa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grupo Televisa is operating at the current time. Most of Grupo Televisa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grupo Televisa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grupo Televisa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grupo Televisa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Grupo Televisa's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Grupo Televisa value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grupo Televisa's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.