Golden Sun Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| GSUN Stock | USD 2.97 0.26 8.05% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Golden Sun Education on the next trading day is expected to be 2.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.98. Golden Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Golden Sun stock prices and determine the direction of Golden Sun Education's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Golden Sun's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Golden Sun's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Golden Sun's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Golden Sun fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Golden Sun to cross-verify your projections. Golden |
Most investors in Golden Sun cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Golden Sun's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Golden Sun's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A two period moving average forecast for Golden Sun is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility. Golden Sun Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of April
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Golden Sun Education on the next trading day is expected to be 2.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42, mean absolute percentage error of 0.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.98.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Golden Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Golden Sun's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Golden Sun Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Golden Sun | Golden Sun Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Golden Sun Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Golden Sun's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Golden Sun's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 10.88, respectively. We have considered Golden Sun's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Golden Sun stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Golden Sun stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.3054 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0992 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4163 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0716 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 24.975 |
Predictive Modules for Golden Sun
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Golden Sun Education. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Golden Sun's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Golden Sun
For every potential investor in Golden, whether a beginner or expert, Golden Sun's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Golden Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Golden. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Golden Sun's price trends.Golden Sun Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Golden Sun stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Golden Sun could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Golden Sun by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Golden Sun Education Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Golden Sun's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Golden Sun's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Golden Sun Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Golden Sun stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Golden Sun shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Golden Sun stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Golden Sun Education entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Golden Sun Risk Indicators
The analysis of Golden Sun's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Golden Sun's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting golden stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.47 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.48 | |||
| Variance | 71.83 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Golden Sun in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Golden Sun's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Golden Sun options trading.
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Golden Sun to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Complementary Tools for Golden Stock analysis
When running Golden Sun's price analysis, check to measure Golden Sun's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Golden Sun is operating at the current time. Most of Golden Sun's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Golden Sun's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Golden Sun's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Golden Sun to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| USA ETFs Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA | |
| Aroon Oscillator Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios | |
| Price Ceiling Movement Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments | |
| Performance Analysis Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation | |
| Sectors List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities | |
| AI Investment Finder Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities | |
| Portfolio Comparator Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account | |
| Premium Stories Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope |
Is Golden Sun's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Golden Sun. If investors know Golden will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Golden Sun listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.74) | Earnings Share (3.10) | Revenue Per Share 3.274 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.27) | Return On Assets (0.18) |
The market value of Golden Sun Education is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Golden that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Golden Sun's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Golden Sun's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Golden Sun's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Golden Sun's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Golden Sun's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Golden Sun is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Golden Sun's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.