Hannon Armstrong Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

HASI Stock  USD 27.99  1.26  4.71%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Hannon Armstrong Sustainable on the next trading day is expected to be 26.02 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.93  and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.13. Hannon Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Hannon Armstrong stock prices and determine the direction of Hannon Armstrong Sustainable's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hannon Armstrong's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Hannon Armstrong's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Hannon Armstrong's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Hannon Armstrong fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hannon Armstrong to cross-verify your projections.
  
The current Inventory Turnover is estimated to decrease to 0.03. The current Payables Turnover is estimated to decrease to 553.04. The Hannon Armstrong's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 114.9 M, while Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is projected to decrease to under 42.7 M.

Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Hannon Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Hannon Armstrong's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Hannon Armstrong's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Hannon Armstrong stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Hannon Armstrong's open interest, investors have to compare it to Hannon Armstrong's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Hannon Armstrong is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Hannon. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Hannon Armstrong cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Hannon Armstrong's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Hannon Armstrong's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Hannon Armstrong Sustainable is based on a synthetically constructed Hannon Armstrongdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Hannon Armstrong 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Hannon Armstrong Sustainable on the next trading day is expected to be 26.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.93, mean absolute percentage error of 1.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.13.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hannon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hannon Armstrong's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hannon Armstrong Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Hannon ArmstrongHannon Armstrong Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Hannon Armstrong Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hannon Armstrong's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hannon Armstrong's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.09 and 28.94, respectively. We have considered Hannon Armstrong's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
27.99
26.02
Expected Value
28.94
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hannon Armstrong stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hannon Armstrong stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria83.4204
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.5851
MADMean absolute deviation0.9316
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0364
SAESum of the absolute errors39.129
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Hannon Armstrong Sus 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Hannon Armstrong

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hannon Armstrong Sus. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hannon Armstrong's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.0627.9930.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.2428.1731.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
26.2327.2828.33
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
30.9434.0037.74
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hannon Armstrong. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hannon Armstrong's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hannon Armstrong's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hannon Armstrong Sus.

Other Forecasting Options for Hannon Armstrong

For every potential investor in Hannon, whether a beginner or expert, Hannon Armstrong's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hannon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hannon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hannon Armstrong's price trends.

Hannon Armstrong Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hannon Armstrong stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hannon Armstrong could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hannon Armstrong by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hannon Armstrong Sus Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hannon Armstrong's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hannon Armstrong's current price.

Hannon Armstrong Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hannon Armstrong stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hannon Armstrong shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hannon Armstrong stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hannon Armstrong Sustainable entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hannon Armstrong Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hannon Armstrong's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hannon Armstrong's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hannon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Hannon Armstrong Investors Sentiment

The influence of Hannon Armstrong's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Hannon. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Hannon Armstrong's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Hannon. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Hannon can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Hannon Armstrong Sustainable. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Hannon Armstrong's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Hannon Armstrong's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Hannon Armstrong's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Hannon Armstrong.

Hannon Armstrong Implied Volatility

    
  68.06  
Hannon Armstrong's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hannon Armstrong Sustainable stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hannon Armstrong's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hannon Armstrong stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hannon Armstrong's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Hannon Armstrong in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Hannon Armstrong's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Hannon Armstrong options trading.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect
When determining whether Hannon Armstrong Sus offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Hannon Armstrong's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hannon Armstrong to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.

Complementary Tools for Hannon Stock analysis

When running Hannon Armstrong's price analysis, check to measure Hannon Armstrong's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hannon Armstrong is operating at the current time. Most of Hannon Armstrong's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hannon Armstrong's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hannon Armstrong's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hannon Armstrong to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Global Markets Map
Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Sectors
List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Portfolio Backtesting
Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios
Theme Ratings
Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Crypto Correlations
Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins
Economic Indicators
Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing
Is Hannon Armstrong's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hannon Armstrong. If investors know Hannon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hannon Armstrong listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.49)
Dividend Share
1.58
Earnings Share
1.42
Revenue Per Share
1.345
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.728
The market value of Hannon Armstrong Sus is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hannon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hannon Armstrong's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hannon Armstrong's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hannon Armstrong's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hannon Armstrong's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hannon Armstrong's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hannon Armstrong is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hannon Armstrong's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.