Hagerty Stock Forecast - Jensen Alpha
| HGTY Stock | USD 8.62 0.29 3.25% |
Hagerty Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Hagerty stock prices and determine the direction of Hagerty's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hagerty's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Hagerty's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Hagerty's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Hagerty fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hagerty to cross-verify your projections. Hagerty |
Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Hagerty Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Hagerty's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Hagerty's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Hagerty stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Hagerty's open interest, investors have to compare it to Hagerty's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Hagerty is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Hagerty. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Hagerty cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Hagerty's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Hagerty's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
| Check Hagerty Volatility | Backtest Hagerty | Information Ratio |
Hagerty Trading Date Momentum
| On April 19 2024 Hagerty was traded for 8.62 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 8.92 and the lowest listed price was 8.61 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on April 19, 2024 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 3.48% . |
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Other Forecasting Options for Hagerty
For every potential investor in Hagerty, whether a beginner or expert, Hagerty's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hagerty Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hagerty. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hagerty's price trends.Hagerty Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hagerty stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hagerty could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hagerty by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hagerty Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hagerty's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hagerty's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hagerty Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hagerty stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hagerty shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hagerty stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hagerty entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Hagerty Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hagerty's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hagerty's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hagerty stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.55 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Variance | 2.88 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.94 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.41 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.34) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Hagerty Investors Sentiment
The influence of Hagerty's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Hagerty. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Hagerty's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Hagerty. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Hagerty can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Hagerty. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Hagerty's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Hagerty's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Hagerty's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Hagerty.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Hagerty in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Hagerty's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Hagerty options trading.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hagerty to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Hagerty Stock please use our How to Invest in Hagerty guide.You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Complementary Tools for Hagerty Stock analysis
When running Hagerty's price analysis, check to measure Hagerty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hagerty is operating at the current time. Most of Hagerty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hagerty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hagerty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hagerty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Hagerty's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hagerty. If investors know Hagerty will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hagerty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.47) | Earnings Share 0.09 | Revenue Per Share 11.882 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.244 | Return On Assets 0.01 |
The market value of Hagerty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hagerty that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hagerty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hagerty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hagerty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hagerty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hagerty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hagerty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hagerty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.