Hancock Horizon Mutual Fund Forecast - Polynomial Regression

HHDTX -  USA Fund  

USD 26.61  0.00  0.00%

Hancock Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Hancock Horizon historical stock prices and determine the direction of Hancock Horizon Diversified's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Hancock Horizon historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Please check Risk vs Return Analysis.

Hancock Mutual Fund Forecast 

 
Refresh
Most investors in Hancock Horizon cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Hancock Horizon's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Hancock Horizon's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Hancock Horizon polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Hancock Horizon Diversified as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Hancock Horizon Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 18th of January 2022

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Hancock Horizon Diversified on the next trading day is expected to be 24.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.93, mean absolute percentage error of 1.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 468.13. Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hancock Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hancock Horizon's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hancock Horizon Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Hancock HorizonHancock Horizon Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hancock Horizon mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hancock Horizon mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria932.6181
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.9288
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.046
SAESum of the absolute errors468.1287
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Hancock Horizon historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Hancock Horizon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hancock Horizon Dive. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hancock Horizon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Hancock Horizon in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
25.0426.6128.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
21.6723.2429.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.6126.6126.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hancock Horizon. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hancock Horizon's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hancock Horizon's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Hancock Horizon Dive.

View Currently Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hancock Horizon mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hancock Horizon could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hancock Horizon by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.

Hancock Horizon Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hancock Horizon's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hancock Horizon's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Hancock Horizon stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Hancock Horizon Investors Sentiment

The influence of Hancock Horizon's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Hancock. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Hancock Horizon in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Hancock Horizon's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Hancock Horizon options trading.

Current Sentiment - HHDTX

Hancock Horizon Dive Investor Sentiment

Macroaxis portfolio users are indifferent in their judgment towards investing in Hancock Horizon Diversified. What is your judgment towards investing in Hancock Horizon Diversified? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
50% Bullish
50% Bearish
Skip

Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Hancock Horizon Dive using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

Build Optimal Portfolios

Align your risk with return expectations

Fix your portfolio
By capturing your risk tolerance and investment horizon Macroaxis technology of instant portfolio optimization will compute exactly how much risk is acceptable for your desired return expectations
Please check Risk vs Return Analysis. Note that the Hancock Horizon Dive information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Hancock Horizon's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

Other Tools for Hancock Mutual Fund

When running Hancock Horizon Dive price analysis, check to measure Hancock Horizon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hancock Horizon is operating at the current time. Most of Hancock Horizon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hancock Horizon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hancock Horizon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hancock Horizon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Go
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Go
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Go
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
Go
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Go
Theme Ratings
Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Go
Portfolio Backtesting
Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios
Go