Harmony Gold Stock Forecast - Maximum Drawdown
| HMY Stock | USD 8.71 0.58 6.24% |
Harmony Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Harmony Gold stock prices and determine the direction of Harmony Gold Mining's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Harmony Gold's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Harmony Gold's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Harmony Gold's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Harmony Gold fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Harmony Gold to cross-verify your projections. Harmony |
Open Interest Against 2024-05-17 Harmony Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Harmony Gold's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Harmony Gold's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Harmony Gold stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Harmony Gold's open interest, investors have to compare it to Harmony Gold's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Harmony Gold is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Harmony. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Harmony Gold cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Harmony Gold's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Harmony Gold's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
| Check Harmony Gold Volatility | Backtest Harmony Gold | Information Ratio |
Harmony Gold Trading Date Momentum
| On April 22 2024 Harmony Gold Mining was traded for 8.71 at the closing time. Highest Harmony Gold's price during the trading hours was 8.77 and the lowest price during the day was 8.36 . The net volume was 6.3 M. The overall trading history on the 22nd of April did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 0.46% . |
| Compare Harmony Gold to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Harmony Gold
For every potential investor in Harmony, whether a beginner or expert, Harmony Gold's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Harmony Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Harmony. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Harmony Gold's price trends.Harmony Gold Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Harmony Gold stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Harmony Gold could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Harmony Gold by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Harmony Gold Mining Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Harmony Gold's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Harmony Gold's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Harmony Gold Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Harmony Gold stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Harmony Gold shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Harmony Gold stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Harmony Gold Mining entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 294233.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.41) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.94 | |||
| Day Median Price | 8.57 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 8.61 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.14) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.58) |
Harmony Gold Risk Indicators
The analysis of Harmony Gold's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Harmony Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting harmony stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.35 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.62 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.39 | |||
| Variance | 11.51 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.52 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.62 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.05) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Harmony Gold to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Complementary Tools for Harmony Stock analysis
When running Harmony Gold's price analysis, check to measure Harmony Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Harmony Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Harmony Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Harmony Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Harmony Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Harmony Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Harmony Gold's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Harmony Gold. If investors know Harmony will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Harmony Gold listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.209 | Dividend Share 2.22 | Earnings Share 0.75 | Revenue Per Share 92.841 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.351 |
The market value of Harmony Gold Mining is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Harmony that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Harmony Gold's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Harmony Gold's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Harmony Gold's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Harmony Gold's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Harmony Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Harmony Gold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Harmony Gold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.