Hanover Foods Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

HNFSB Stock  USD 61.72  0.00  0.00%   
Hanover Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Hanover Foods stock prices and determine the direction of Hanover Foods's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Hanover Foods historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hanover Foods to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Hanover Foods cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Hanover Foods' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Hanover Foods' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Triple exponential smoothing for Hanover Foods - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Hanover Foods prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Hanover Foods price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Hanover Foods.

Hanover Foods Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hanover Foods on the next trading day is expected to be 61.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hanover Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hanover Foods' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hanover Foods Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Hanover Foods Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hanover Foods' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hanover Foods' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 61.72 and 61.72, respectively. We have considered Hanover Foods' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
61.72
61.72
Expected Value
61.72
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hanover Foods pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hanover Foods pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Hanover Foods observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Hanover Foods observations.

Predictive Modules for Hanover Foods

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hanover Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hanover Foods' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Hanover Foods in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
61.7261.7261.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
61.7261.7261.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
61.7261.7261.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hanover Foods. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hanover Foods' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hanover Foods' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hanover Foods.

Other Forecasting Options for Hanover Foods

For every potential investor in Hanover, whether a beginner or expert, Hanover Foods' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hanover Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hanover. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hanover Foods' price trends.

Hanover Foods Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hanover Foods pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hanover Foods could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hanover Foods by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Nestle SAKraft HeinzGeneral MillsDanone PKDanone SAGrupo Bimbo SABMcCormick IncorporatedChina Mengniu DairyKellanovaAmerican AirlinesAlcoa CorpApple IncBest BuyCitigroupSentinelOne
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hanover Foods Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hanover Foods' price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hanover Foods' current price.

Hanover Foods Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hanover Foods pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hanover Foods shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hanover Foods pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Hanover Foods entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hanover Foods to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.

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When running Hanover Foods' price analysis, check to measure Hanover Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hanover Foods is operating at the current time. Most of Hanover Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hanover Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hanover Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hanover Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Hanover Foods' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hanover Foods is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hanover Foods' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.