Intercept Pharmaceuticals Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| ICPTDelisted Stock | USD 19.00 0.00 0.00% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Intercept Pharmaceuticals on the next trading day is expected to be 17.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 63.81. Intercept Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Intercept Pharmaceuticals stock prices and determine the direction of Intercept Pharmaceuticals's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Intercept Pharmaceuticals' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey. Intercept |
Most investors in Intercept Pharmaceuticals cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Intercept Pharmaceuticals' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Intercept Pharmaceuticals' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Intercept Pharmaceuticals polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Intercept Pharmaceuticals as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices. Intercept Pharmaceuticals Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 16th of April 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Intercept Pharmaceuticals on the next trading day is expected to be 17.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.05, mean absolute percentage error of 2.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 63.81.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Intercept Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Intercept Pharmaceuticals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Intercept Pharmaceuticals Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Intercept Pharmaceuticals | Intercept Pharmaceuticals Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Intercept Pharmaceuticals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Intercept Pharmaceuticals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.8673 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0461 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0747 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 63.8146 |
Predictive Modules for Intercept Pharmaceuticals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intercept Pharmaceuticals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Intercept Pharmaceuticals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
View Intercept Pharmaceuticals Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Intercept Pharmaceuticals Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Intercept Pharmaceuticals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Intercept Pharmaceuticals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Intercept Pharmaceuticals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Intercept Pharmaceuticals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0016 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 19.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 19.0 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.03 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.005 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 75.8 |
Intercept Pharmaceuticals Risk Indicators
The analysis of Intercept Pharmaceuticals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Intercept Pharmaceuticals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting intercept stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.13 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 9.99 | |||
| Variance | 99.71 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.58 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.72 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.85) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Other Consideration for investing in Intercept Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Intercept Pharmaceuticals check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Intercept Pharmaceuticals' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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