Infobird Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

IFBD Stock  USD 4.35  0.12  2.84%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Infobird Co on the next trading day is expected to be 4.35 with a mean absolute deviation of  1.70  and the sum of the absolute errors of 101.98. Infobird Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Infobird stock prices and determine the direction of Infobird Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Infobird's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Infobird's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Infobird's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Infobird fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Infobird to cross-verify your projections.
  
At present, Infobird's Receivables Turnover is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. . As of March 28, 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 49.2 K. The current year's Net Loss is expected to grow to about (13.1 M).
Most investors in Infobird cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Infobird's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Infobird's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A two period moving average forecast for Infobird is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Infobird Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Infobird Co on the next trading day is expected to be 4.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.70, mean absolute percentage error of 11.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 101.98.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Infobird Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Infobird's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Infobird Stock Forecast Pattern

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Infobird Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Infobird's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Infobird's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 28.94, respectively. We have considered Infobird's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.35
4.35
Expected Value
28.94
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Infobird stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Infobird stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.6953
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1626
MADMean absolute deviation1.6996
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1881
SAESum of the absolute errors101.975
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Infobird Co price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Infobird. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Infobird

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Infobird. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Infobird's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.244.8629.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.326.3430.93
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.3512.4713.84
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Infobird. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Infobird's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Infobird's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Infobird.

Other Forecasting Options for Infobird

For every potential investor in Infobird, whether a beginner or expert, Infobird's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Infobird Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Infobird. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Infobird's price trends.

Infobird Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Infobird stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Infobird could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Infobird by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Infobird Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Infobird's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Infobird's current price.

Infobird Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Infobird stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Infobird shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Infobird stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Infobird Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Infobird Risk Indicators

The analysis of Infobird's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Infobird's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting infobird stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Infobird in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Infobird's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Infobird options trading.

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When determining whether Infobird is a strong investment it is important to analyze Infobird's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Infobird's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Infobird Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Infobird to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Infobird information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Infobird's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Complementary Tools for Infobird Stock analysis

When running Infobird's price analysis, check to measure Infobird's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Infobird is operating at the current time. Most of Infobird's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Infobird's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Infobird's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Infobird to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Infobird's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Infobird. If investors know Infobird will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Infobird listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.18)
Earnings Share
-2 K
Revenue Per Share
308.393
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.43)
Return On Assets
(0.29)
The market value of Infobird is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Infobird that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Infobird's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Infobird's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Infobird's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Infobird's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Infobird's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Infobird is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Infobird's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.