Vy T Mutual Fund Forecast - Polynomial Regression

IGEAX Fund  USD 78.41  0.10  0.13%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Vy T Rowe on the next trading day is expected to be 78.67 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.51  and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.00. IGEAX Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Vy T stock prices and determine the direction of Vy T Rowe's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Vy T's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vy T to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Vy T cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, fund markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Vy T's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Vy T's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Vy T polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Vy T Rowe as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Vy T Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Vy T Rowe on the next trading day is expected to be 78.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51, mean absolute percentage error of 0.43, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IGEAX Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vy T's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Vy T Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Vy TVy T Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Vy T Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Vy T's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vy T's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 77.66 and 79.68, respectively. We have considered Vy T's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
78.41
78.67
Expected Value
79.68
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vy T mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vy T mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.2779
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5082
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0068
SAESum of the absolute errors31.0007
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Vy T historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Vy T

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vy T Rowe. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vy T's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
77.4078.4179.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
68.7769.7886.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vy T. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vy T's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vy T's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Vy T Rowe.

Other Forecasting Options for Vy T

For every potential investor in IGEAX, whether a beginner or expert, Vy T's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IGEAX Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IGEAX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vy T's price trends.

Vy T Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vy T mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vy T could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vy T by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Vy T Rowe Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Vy T's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Vy T's current price.

Vy T Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vy T mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vy T shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vy T mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Vy T Rowe entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Vy T Risk Indicators

The analysis of Vy T's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vy T's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting igeax mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Vy T in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Vy T's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Vy T options trading.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vy T to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Vy T Rowe information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Vy T's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.

Complementary Tools for IGEAX Mutual Fund analysis

When running Vy T's price analysis, check to measure Vy T's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vy T is operating at the current time. Most of Vy T's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vy T's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vy T's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vy T to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
USA ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Portfolio Center
All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios
Funds Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
CEOs Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Latest Portfolios
Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vy T's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vy T is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vy T's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.