Imagine Lithium Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

ILI Stock  CAD 0.08  0.01  11.11%   
Imagine Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Imagine Lithium stock prices and determine the direction of Imagine Lithium's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Imagine Lithium historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Imagine Lithium to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Imagine Lithium cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Imagine Lithium's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Imagine Lithium's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Imagine Lithium is based on an artificially constructed time series of Imagine Lithium daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Imagine Lithium 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 31st of May

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Imagine Lithium on the next trading day is expected to be 0.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.004599, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0000324, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.24.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Imagine Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Imagine Lithium's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Imagine Lithium Stock Forecast Pattern

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Imagine Lithium Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Imagine Lithium's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Imagine Lithium's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0008 and 5.58, respectively. We have considered Imagine Lithium's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 0.08
0.0008
Downside
0.09
Expected Value
5.58
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Imagine Lithium stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Imagine Lithium stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria93.0701
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.002
MADMean absolute deviation0.0046
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0493
SAESum of the absolute errors0.2437
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Imagine Lithium 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Imagine Lithium

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Imagine Lithium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Imagine Lithium's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Imagine Lithium in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.085.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.075.57
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Imagine Lithium. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Imagine Lithium's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Imagine Lithium's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Imagine Lithium.

Other Forecasting Options for Imagine Lithium

For every potential investor in Imagine, whether a beginner or expert, Imagine Lithium's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Imagine Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Imagine. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Imagine Lithium's price trends.

Imagine Lithium Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Imagine Lithium stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Imagine Lithium could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Imagine Lithium by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Altius MineralsIvanhoe MinesErdene Resource DeveSilver Valley MetalsAvalon Advanced MaterialsAmerican AirlinesAlcoa CorpApple IncBest BuyCitigroupSentinelOneCVS Health CorpChevron CorpHome DepotInternational Business
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Imagine Lithium Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Imagine Lithium's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Imagine Lithium's current price.

Imagine Lithium Risk Indicators

The analysis of Imagine Lithium's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Imagine Lithium's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Imagine Lithium stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Imagine Lithium without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Imagine Lithium using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Imagine Lithium to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

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When running Imagine Lithium's price analysis, check to measure Imagine Lithium's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Imagine Lithium is operating at the current time. Most of Imagine Lithium's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Imagine Lithium's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Imagine Lithium's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Imagine Lithium to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Imagine Lithium's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Imagine Lithium is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Imagine Lithium's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Imagine Lithium to cross-verify your projections.
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