Integrated Media Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

IMTE Stock  USD 2.15  0.13  6.44%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Integrated Media Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 2.08 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.1  and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.30. Integrated Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Integrated Media stock prices and determine the direction of Integrated Media Technology's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Integrated Media's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Integrated Media's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Integrated Media's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Integrated Media fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Integrated Media to cross-verify your projections.
  
As of April 17, 2024, Inventory Turnover is expected to decline to 0.12. In addition to that, Payables Turnover is expected to decline to 5.33. As of April 17, 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 11.6 M. In addition to that, Net Loss is expected to decline to about (5.5 M).
Most investors in Integrated Media cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Integrated Media's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Integrated Media's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Integrated Media is based on an artificially constructed time series of Integrated Media daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Integrated Media 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 18th of April 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Integrated Media Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 2.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.30.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Integrated Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Integrated Media's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Integrated Media Stock Forecast Pattern

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Integrated Media Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Integrated Media's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Integrated Media's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 5.41, respectively. We have considered Integrated Media's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.15
2.08
Expected Value
5.41
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Integrated Media stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Integrated Media stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria99.2177
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.048
MADMean absolute deviation0.0999
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0414
SAESum of the absolute errors5.2963
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Integrated Media Technology 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Integrated Media

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Integrated Media Tec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Integrated Media's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.102.045.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.885.21
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Integrated Media. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Integrated Media's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Integrated Media's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Integrated Media Tec.

Other Forecasting Options for Integrated Media

For every potential investor in Integrated, whether a beginner or expert, Integrated Media's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Integrated Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Integrated. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Integrated Media's price trends.

View Integrated Media Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Integrated Media Tec Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Integrated Media's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Integrated Media's current price.

Integrated Media Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Integrated Media stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Integrated Media shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Integrated Media stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Integrated Media Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Integrated Media Risk Indicators

The analysis of Integrated Media's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Integrated Media's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting integrated stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Integrated Media in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Integrated Media's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Integrated Media options trading.

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When determining whether Integrated Media Tec is a strong investment it is important to analyze Integrated Media's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Integrated Media's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Integrated Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Integrated Media to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

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When running Integrated Media's price analysis, check to measure Integrated Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Integrated Media is operating at the current time. Most of Integrated Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Integrated Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Integrated Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Integrated Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Integrated Media's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Integrated Media. If investors know Integrated will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Integrated Media listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(4.30)
Revenue Per Share
(0.50)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.82)
Return On Assets
(0.17)
Return On Equity
(0.25)
The market value of Integrated Media Tec is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Integrated that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Integrated Media's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Integrated Media's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Integrated Media's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Integrated Media's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Integrated Media's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Integrated Media is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Integrated Media's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.