Integrated Media Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

IMTE -  USA Stock  

USD 5.19  0.15  2.81%

Integrated Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Integrated Media historical stock prices and determine the direction of Integrated Media Technology's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Integrated Media historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Integrated Media naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of Integrated Media Technology systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Integrated Media fundamentals over time.
Please see Historical Fundamental Analysis of Integrated Media to cross-verify your projections.

Integrated Stock Forecast 

 
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The current year Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.13. As of November 28, 2021, Weighted Average Shares is expected to decline to about 3.7 M. In addition to that, Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares is expected to decline to about 12.5 M.
Most investors in Integrated Media cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Integrated Media's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Integrated Media's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Triple exponential smoothing for Integrated Media - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Integrated Media prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Integrated Media price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Integrated Media Tec.

Integrated Media Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Integrated Media Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 5.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.018492, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.32. Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Integrated Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Integrated Media's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Integrated Media Stock Forecast Pattern

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Integrated Media Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Integrated Media's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Integrated Media's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.65 and 7.79, respectively. We have considered Integrated Media's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.19
28th of November 2021
5.22
Expected Value
7.79
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Integrated Media stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Integrated Media stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0292
MADMean absolute deviation0.0902
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0182
SAESum of the absolute errors5.32
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Integrated Media observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Integrated Media Technology observations.

Predictive Modules for Integrated Media

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Integrated Media Tec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Integrated Media's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Integrated Media in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.755.229.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.204.068.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.055.245.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Integrated Media. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Integrated Media's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Integrated Media's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Integrated Media Tec.

Other Forecasting Options for Integrated Media

For every potential investor in Integrated, whether a beginner or expert, Integrated Media's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Integrated Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Integrated. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Integrated Media's price trends.

View Currently Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Integrated Media stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Integrated Media could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Integrated Media by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.

Integrated Media Tec Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Integrated Media's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Integrated Media's current price.

Integrated Media Risk Indicators

The analysis of Integrated Media's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Integrated Media's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Integrated Media stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Integrated Media without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate.risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Please see Historical Fundamental Analysis of Integrated Media to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Integrated Media Tec information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Integrated Media's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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When running Integrated Media Tec price analysis, check to measure Integrated Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Integrated Media is operating at the current time. Most of Integrated Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Integrated Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Integrated Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Integrated Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Integrated Media's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Integrated Media. If investors know Integrated will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Integrated Media listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Integrated Media Tec is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Integrated that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Integrated Media's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Integrated Media's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Integrated Media's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Integrated Media's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Integrated Media's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Integrated Media value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Integrated Media's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.