# Infinity Pharmaceuti Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

INFI | Stock | ## USD 1.27 0.22 14.77% |

Infinity Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Infinity Pharmaceuti historical stock prices and determine the direction of Infinity Pharmaceuti's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Infinity Pharmaceuti historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Infinity Pharmaceuti naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of Infinity Pharmaceuti systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Infinity Pharmaceuti fundamentals over time.

Please see Historical Fundamental Analysis of Infinity Pharmaceuti to cross-verify your projections. Infinity |

**M**, while Weighted Average Shares is projected to decrease to roughly 74.6

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### Open Interest Agains t 2022-08-19 Infinity Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Infinity Pharmaceuti's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest Infinity Pharmaceuti's options reflect these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short trading strategies Infinity Pharmaceuti stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.

Please note, to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Infinity Pharmaceuti's open interest, investors have to compare it to Infinity Pharmaceuti's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Infinity Pharmaceuti is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Infinity. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Most investors in Infinity Pharmaceuti cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Infinity Pharmaceuti's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Infinity Pharmaceuti's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.

A naive forecasting model for Infinity Pharmaceuti is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Infinity Pharmaceuti value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period. ## Infinity Pharmaceuti Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 19th of August

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Infinity Pharmaceuti on the next trading day is expected to be 1.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.005854, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.52.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Infinity Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Infinity Pharmaceuti's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

## Infinity Pharmaceuti Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Infinity Pharmaceuti | Infinity Pharmaceuti Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |

## Infinity Pharmaceuti Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Infinity Pharmaceuti's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Infinity Pharmaceuti's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0127 and 10.44, respectively. We have considered Infinity Pharmaceuti's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.

## Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Infinity Pharmaceuti stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Infinity Pharmaceuti stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.8078 |

Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |

MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0568 |

MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.073 |

SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.5246 |

## Predictive Modules for Infinity Pharmaceuti

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Infinity Pharmaceuti. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Infinity Pharmaceuti's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Infinity Pharmaceuti in the context of predictive analytics.

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Infinity Pharmaceuti. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Infinity Pharmaceuti's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Infinity Pharmaceuti's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Infinity Pharmaceuti.

## Other Forecasting Options for Infinity Pharmaceuti

For every potential investor in Infinity, whether a beginner or expert, Infinity Pharmaceuti's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Infinity Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Infinity. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Infinity Pharmaceuti's price trends.## Infinity Pharmaceuti Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Infinity Pharmaceuti stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Infinity Pharmaceuti could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Infinity Pharmaceuti by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.

Risk & Return | Correlation |

## Infinity Pharmaceuti Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Infinity Pharmaceuti's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Infinity Pharmaceuti's current price.Cycle Indicators | ||

Math Operators | ||

Math Transform | ||

Momentum Indicators | ||

Overlap Studies | ||

Pattern Recognition | ||

Price Transform | ||

Statistic Functions | ||

Volatility Indicators | ||

Volume Indicators |

## Infinity Pharmaceuti Risk Indicators

The analysis of Infinity Pharmaceuti's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Infinity Pharmaceuti's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Infinity Pharmaceuti stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.

Mean Deviation | 6.19 | |||

Semi Deviation | 5.09 | |||

Standard Deviation | 8.88 | |||

Variance | 78.92 | |||

Downside Variance | 45.5 | |||

Semi Variance | 25.93 | |||

Expected Short fall | (8.02) |

Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

## Infinity Pharmaceuti Implied Volatility | 291.5 |

Infinity Pharmaceuti's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Infinity Pharmaceuti stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Infinity Pharmaceuti's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Infinity Pharmaceuti stock will not fluctuate a lot when Infinity Pharmaceuti's options are near their expiration.

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Infinity Pharmaceuti in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Infinity Pharmaceuti's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Infinity Pharmaceuti options trading.

## Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Infinity Pharmaceuti using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.## Build Optimal Portfolios

### Align your risk with return expectations

Please see Historical Fundamental Analysis of Infinity Pharmaceuti to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Infinity Pharmaceuti information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Infinity Pharmaceuti's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

## Complementary Tools for Infinity Stock analysis

When running Infinity Pharmaceuti price analysis, check to measure Infinity Pharmaceuti's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Infinity Pharmaceuti is operating at the current time. Most of Infinity Pharmaceuti's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Infinity Pharmaceuti's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Infinity Pharmaceuti's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Infinity Pharmaceuti to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Is Infinity Pharmaceuti's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Infinity Pharmaceuti. If investors know Infinity will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Infinity Pharmaceuti listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Market Capitalization 113.4 M | Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY 0.34 | Return On Assets -0.35 | Return On Equity -2.31 |

The market value of Infinity Pharmaceuti is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Infinity that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Infinity Pharmaceuti's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Infinity Pharmaceuti's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Infinity Pharmaceuti's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Infinity Pharmaceuti's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Infinity Pharmaceuti's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Infinity Pharmaceuti value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Infinity Pharmaceuti's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.