Intracellular Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

ITCI Stock  USD 69.72  2.39  3.55%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Intracellular Th on the next trading day is expected to be 67.00 with a mean absolute deviation of  2.81  and the sum of the absolute errors of 118.08. Intracellular Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Intracellular stock prices and determine the direction of Intracellular Th's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Intracellular's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Intracellular's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Intracellular's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Intracellular fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Intracellular to cross-verify your projections.
  
The Intracellular's current Inventory Turnover is estimated to increase to 3.04. The Intracellular's current Payables Turnover is estimated to increase to 3.09. The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 55.1 M. The Intracellular's current Net Loss is estimated to increase to about (219.1 M).

Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Intracellular Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Intracellular's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Intracellular's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Intracellular stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Intracellular's open interest, investors have to compare it to Intracellular's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Intracellular is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Intracellular. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Intracellular cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Intracellular's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Intracellular's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Intracellular Th is based on a synthetically constructed Intracellulardaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Intracellular 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Intracellular Th on the next trading day is expected to be 67.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.81, mean absolute percentage error of 11.94, and the sum of the absolute errors of 118.08.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Intracellular Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Intracellular's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Intracellular Stock Forecast Pattern

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Intracellular Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Intracellular's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Intracellular's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 64.79 and 69.22, respectively. We have considered Intracellular's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
69.72
67.00
Expected Value
69.22
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Intracellular stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Intracellular stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria85.6708
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0453
MADMean absolute deviation2.8113
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0408
SAESum of the absolute errors118.0765
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Intracellular Th 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Intracellular

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intracellular Th. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Intracellular's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
67.4869.6971.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
62.7573.8476.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
66.3268.3470.36
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
70.8377.8386.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Intracellular. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Intracellular's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Intracellular's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Intracellular Th.

Other Forecasting Options for Intracellular

For every potential investor in Intracellular, whether a beginner or expert, Intracellular's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Intracellular Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Intracellular. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Intracellular's price trends.

Intracellular Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Intracellular stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Intracellular could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Intracellular by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Intracellular Th Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Intracellular's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Intracellular's current price.

Intracellular Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Intracellular stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Intracellular shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Intracellular stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Intracellular Th entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Intracellular Risk Indicators

The analysis of Intracellular's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Intracellular's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting intracellular stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Intracellular Th offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Intracellular's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Intracellular Th Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Intracellular Th Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Intracellular to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Intracellular Th information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Intracellular's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

Complementary Tools for Intracellular Stock analysis

When running Intracellular's price analysis, check to measure Intracellular's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intracellular is operating at the current time. Most of Intracellular's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intracellular's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intracellular's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intracellular to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Intracellular's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Intracellular. If investors know Intracellular will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Intracellular listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.46)
Revenue Per Share
4.843
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.503
Return On Assets
(0.13)
Return On Equity
(0.22)
The market value of Intracellular Th is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Intracellular that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Intracellular's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Intracellular's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Intracellular's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Intracellular's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Intracellular's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Intracellular is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Intracellular's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.