Jiayin Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

JFIN Stock  USD 6.52  0.38  5.51%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Jiayin Group on the next trading day is expected to be 7.73 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.31  and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.91. Jiayin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Jiayin stock prices and determine the direction of Jiayin Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Jiayin's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Jiayin's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Jiayin's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Jiayin fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jiayin to cross-verify your projections.
  
At this time, Jiayin's Inventory Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 29th of March 2024, Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 1.53, while Payables Turnover is likely to drop 0.34. . As of the 29th of March 2024, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to grow to about 1.4 B, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop about 58.9 M.

Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Jiayin Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Jiayin's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Jiayin's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Jiayin stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Jiayin's open interest, investors have to compare it to Jiayin's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Jiayin is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Jiayin. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Jiayin cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Jiayin's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Jiayin's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Jiayin polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Jiayin Group as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Jiayin Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Jiayin Group on the next trading day is expected to be 7.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.91.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jiayin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jiayin's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jiayin Stock Forecast Pattern

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Jiayin Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jiayin's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jiayin's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.81 and 11.64, respectively. We have considered Jiayin's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
6.52
7.73
Expected Value
11.64
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jiayin stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jiayin stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.0649
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3051
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0512
SAESum of the absolute errors18.9134
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Jiayin historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Jiayin

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jiayin Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jiayin's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.656.5710.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.398.3112.23
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.2911.3112.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jiayin. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jiayin's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jiayin's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jiayin Group.

Other Forecasting Options for Jiayin

For every potential investor in Jiayin, whether a beginner or expert, Jiayin's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jiayin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jiayin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jiayin's price trends.

Jiayin Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jiayin stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jiayin could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jiayin by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jiayin Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jiayin's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jiayin's current price.

Jiayin Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jiayin stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jiayin shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jiayin stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jiayin Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jiayin Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jiayin's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jiayin's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jiayin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Jiayin in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Jiayin's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Jiayin options trading.

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When determining whether Jiayin Group offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Jiayin's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Jiayin Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Jiayin Group Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jiayin to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

Complementary Tools for Jiayin Stock analysis

When running Jiayin's price analysis, check to measure Jiayin's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jiayin is operating at the current time. Most of Jiayin's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jiayin's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jiayin's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jiayin to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Jiayin's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jiayin. If investors know Jiayin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Jiayin listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.307
Earnings Share
3.78
Revenue Per Share
91.946
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.64
Return On Assets
0.2508
The market value of Jiayin Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Jiayin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jiayin's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jiayin's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Jiayin's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jiayin's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jiayin's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jiayin is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jiayin's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.