Kelso Technologies Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

KIQ Stock  USD 0.08  0.06  42.86%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Kelso Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.11 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.01  and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.48. Kelso Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Kelso Technologies stock prices and determine the direction of Kelso Technologies's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kelso Technologies' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kelso Technologies to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Kelso Stock, please use our How to Invest in Kelso Technologies guide.
  
Most investors in Kelso Technologies cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Kelso Technologies' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Kelso Technologies' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Kelso Technologies is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Kelso Technologies 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Kelso Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.48.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kelso Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kelso Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kelso Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern

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Kelso Technologies Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kelso Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kelso Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0008 and 10.54, respectively. We have considered Kelso Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.08
0.0008
Downside
0.11
Expected Value
10.54
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kelso Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kelso Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.122
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0037
MADMean absolute deviation0.0084
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0694
SAESum of the absolute errors0.48
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Kelso Technologies. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Kelso Technologies and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Kelso Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kelso Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kelso Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0710.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0810.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kelso Technologies. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kelso Technologies' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kelso Technologies' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kelso Technologies.

Other Forecasting Options for Kelso Technologies

For every potential investor in Kelso, whether a beginner or expert, Kelso Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kelso Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kelso. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kelso Technologies' price trends.

Kelso Technologies Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kelso Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kelso Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kelso Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kelso Technologies Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kelso Technologies' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kelso Technologies' current price.

Kelso Technologies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kelso Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kelso Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kelso Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kelso Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kelso Technologies Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kelso Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kelso Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kelso stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Kelso Technologies is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Kelso Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Kelso Technologies Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Kelso Technologies Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kelso Technologies to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Kelso Stock, please use our How to Invest in Kelso Technologies guide.
You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.

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When running Kelso Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Kelso Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kelso Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Kelso Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kelso Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kelso Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kelso Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Kelso Technologies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kelso Technologies. If investors know Kelso will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kelso Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Kelso Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kelso that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kelso Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kelso Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kelso Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kelso Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kelso Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kelso Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kelso Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.