KKR Co Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

KKR Stock  USD 100.51  0.54  0.53%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of KKR Co LP on the next trading day is expected to be 98.53 with a mean absolute deviation of  4.04  and the sum of the absolute errors of 169.48. KKR Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast KKR Co stock prices and determine the direction of KKR Co LP's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of KKR Co's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although KKR Co's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of KKR Co's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of KKR Co fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of KKR Co to cross-verify your projections.
  
At this time, KKR Co's Inventory Turnover is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 03/28/2024, Payables Turnover is likely to grow to 3.40, while Asset Turnover is likely to drop 0.02. . As of 03/28/2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 482.2 M. In addition to that, Net Loss is likely to grow to about (994.3 M).

Open Interest Against 2024-03-28 KKR Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast KKR Co's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in KKR Co's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for KKR Co stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current KKR Co's open interest, investors have to compare it to KKR Co's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of KKR Co is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in KKR. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in KKR Co cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the KKR Co's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets KKR Co's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for KKR Co LP is based on a synthetically constructed KKR Codaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

KKR Co 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of KKR Co LP on the next trading day is expected to be 98.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.04, mean absolute percentage error of 24.51, and the sum of the absolute errors of 169.48.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict KKR Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that KKR Co's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

KKR Co Stock Forecast Pattern

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KKR Co Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting KKR Co's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. KKR Co's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 97.04 and 100.03, respectively. We have considered KKR Co's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
100.51
98.53
Expected Value
100.03
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of KKR Co stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent KKR Co stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria86.3899
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -3.9061
MADMean absolute deviation4.0354
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0423
SAESum of the absolute errors169.485
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. KKR Co LP 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for KKR Co

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KKR Co LP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of KKR Co's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
99.21100.71102.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
89.8691.36110.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
100.36100.80101.25
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
67.0473.6781.77
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as KKR Co. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against KKR Co's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, KKR Co's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in KKR Co LP.

Other Forecasting Options for KKR Co

For every potential investor in KKR, whether a beginner or expert, KKR Co's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. KKR Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in KKR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying KKR Co's price trends.

KKR Co Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with KKR Co stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of KKR Co could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing KKR Co by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

KKR Co LP Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of KKR Co's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of KKR Co's current price.

KKR Co Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how KKR Co stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading KKR Co shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying KKR Co stock market strength indicators, traders can identify KKR Co LP entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

KKR Co Risk Indicators

The analysis of KKR Co's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in KKR Co's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kkr stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether KKR Co LP is a strong investment it is important to analyze KKR Co's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact KKR Co's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding KKR Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of KKR Co to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.

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When running KKR Co's price analysis, check to measure KKR Co's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy KKR Co is operating at the current time. Most of KKR Co's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of KKR Co's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move KKR Co's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of KKR Co to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is KKR Co's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of KKR Co. If investors know KKR will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about KKR Co listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
7.44
Dividend Share
0.66
Earnings Share
4.09
Revenue Per Share
21.514
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.367
The market value of KKR Co LP is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of KKR that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of KKR Co's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is KKR Co's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because KKR Co's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect KKR Co's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between KKR Co's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if KKR Co is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, KKR Co's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.