Keppel REIT Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

KREVF Stock  USD 0.58  0.04  6.45%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Keppel REIT on the next trading day is expected to be 0.59 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.02  and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.19. Keppel Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Keppel REIT stock prices and determine the direction of Keppel REIT's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Keppel REIT's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Keppel REIT to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Keppel REIT cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Keppel REIT's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Keppel REIT's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Keppel REIT price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Keppel REIT Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of April

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Keppel REIT on the next trading day is expected to be 0.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0005, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.19.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Keppel Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Keppel REIT's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Keppel REIT Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Keppel REIT Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Keppel REIT's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Keppel REIT's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 3.21, respectively. We have considered Keppel REIT's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.58
0.59
Expected Value
3.21
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Keppel REIT pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Keppel REIT pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.2554
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0191
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0302
SAESum of the absolute errors1.1866
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Keppel REIT historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Keppel REIT

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Keppel REIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Keppel REIT's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.583.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.513.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Keppel REIT. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Keppel REIT's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Keppel REIT's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Keppel REIT.

Other Forecasting Options for Keppel REIT

For every potential investor in Keppel, whether a beginner or expert, Keppel REIT's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Keppel Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Keppel. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Keppel REIT's price trends.

Keppel REIT Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Keppel REIT pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Keppel REIT could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Keppel REIT by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Keppel REIT Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Keppel REIT's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Keppel REIT's current price.

Keppel REIT Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Keppel REIT pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Keppel REIT shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Keppel REIT pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Keppel REIT entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Keppel REIT Risk Indicators

The analysis of Keppel REIT's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Keppel REIT's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting keppel pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Keppel REIT in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Keppel REIT's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Keppel REIT options trading.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Keppel REIT to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between Keppel REIT's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Keppel REIT is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Keppel REIT's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.