Keyence Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

KYCCF Stock  USD 418.79  0.04  0.01%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Keyence on the next trading day is expected to be 389.44 with a mean absolute deviation of  10.08  and the sum of the absolute errors of 625.21. Keyence Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Keyence stock prices and determine the direction of Keyence's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Keyence's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Keyence to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Keyence cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Keyence's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Keyence's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Keyence polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Keyence as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Keyence Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of April

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Keyence on the next trading day is expected to be 389.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 10.08, mean absolute percentage error of 140.21, and the sum of the absolute errors of 625.21.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Keyence Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Keyence's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Keyence Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest KeyenceKeyence Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Keyence Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Keyence's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Keyence's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 387.70 and 391.18, respectively. We have considered Keyence's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
418.79
387.70
Downside
389.44
Expected Value
391.18
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Keyence pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Keyence pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria124.8915
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation10.084
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0225
SAESum of the absolute errors625.2076
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Keyence historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Keyence

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Keyence. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Keyence's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
417.06418.79420.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
312.36314.09460.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Keyence. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Keyence's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Keyence's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Keyence.

Other Forecasting Options for Keyence

For every potential investor in Keyence, whether a beginner or expert, Keyence's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Keyence Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Keyence. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Keyence's price trends.

Keyence Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Keyence pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Keyence could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Keyence by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Keyence Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Keyence's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Keyence's current price.

Keyence Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Keyence pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Keyence shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Keyence pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Keyence entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Keyence Risk Indicators

The analysis of Keyence's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Keyence's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting keyence pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Keyence to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Keyence information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Keyence's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

Complementary Tools for Keyence Pink Sheet analysis

When running Keyence's price analysis, check to measure Keyence's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Keyence is operating at the current time. Most of Keyence's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Keyence's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Keyence's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Keyence to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Dashboard
Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Portfolio Rebalancing
Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
Please note, there is a significant difference between Keyence's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Keyence is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Keyence's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.