Legend BiotechCorp Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| LEGN Stock | USD 45.17 2.28 4.81% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Legend BiotechCorp on the next trading day is expected to be 46.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 86.68. Legend Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Legend BiotechCorp stock prices and determine the direction of Legend BiotechCorp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Legend BiotechCorp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Legend BiotechCorp's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Legend BiotechCorp's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Legend BiotechCorp fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Legend BiotechCorp to cross-verify your projections. Legend |
Open Interest Against 2024-05-17 Legend Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Legend BiotechCorp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Legend BiotechCorp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Legend BiotechCorp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Legend BiotechCorp's open interest, investors have to compare it to Legend BiotechCorp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Legend BiotechCorp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Legend. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Legend BiotechCorp cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Legend BiotechCorp's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Legend BiotechCorp's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A two period moving average forecast for Legend BiotechCorp is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility. Legend BiotechCorp Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of April
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Legend BiotechCorp on the next trading day is expected to be 46.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.47, mean absolute percentage error of 3.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 86.68.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Legend Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Legend BiotechCorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Legend BiotechCorp Stock Forecast Pattern
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Legend BiotechCorp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Legend BiotechCorp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Legend BiotechCorp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 43.86 and 48.76, respectively. We have considered Legend BiotechCorp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Legend BiotechCorp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Legend BiotechCorp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.6498 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.2469 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.4692 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0251 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 86.68 |
Predictive Modules for Legend BiotechCorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Legend BiotechCorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Legend BiotechCorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Legend BiotechCorp
For every potential investor in Legend, whether a beginner or expert, Legend BiotechCorp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Legend Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Legend. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Legend BiotechCorp's price trends.View Legend BiotechCorp Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Legend BiotechCorp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Legend BiotechCorp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Legend BiotechCorp's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Legend BiotechCorp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Legend BiotechCorp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Legend BiotechCorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Legend BiotechCorp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Legend BiotechCorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 76942.07 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.66) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | |||
| Day Median Price | 46.83 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 46.28 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.80) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.28) |
Legend BiotechCorp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Legend BiotechCorp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Legend BiotechCorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting legend stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.64 | |||
| Variance | 6.98 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Legend BiotechCorp to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Legend Stock, please use our How to Invest in Legend BiotechCorp guide.Note that the Legend BiotechCorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Legend BiotechCorp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Complementary Tools for Legend Stock analysis
When running Legend BiotechCorp's price analysis, check to measure Legend BiotechCorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Legend BiotechCorp is operating at the current time. Most of Legend BiotechCorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Legend BiotechCorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Legend BiotechCorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Legend BiotechCorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Legend BiotechCorp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Legend BiotechCorp. If investors know Legend will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Legend BiotechCorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (2.94) | Revenue Per Share 1.619 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.876 | Return On Assets (0.17) | Return On Equity (0.52) |
The market value of Legend BiotechCorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Legend that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Legend BiotechCorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Legend BiotechCorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Legend BiotechCorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Legend BiotechCorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Legend BiotechCorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Legend BiotechCorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Legend BiotechCorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.