LogicBio Therapeutics Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

LOGCDelisted Stock  USD 2.07  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of LogicBio Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 2.07 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.05  and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.10. LogicBio Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast LogicBio Therapeutics stock prices and determine the direction of LogicBio Therapeutics's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of LogicBio Therapeutics' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
  
Most investors in LogicBio Therapeutics cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the LogicBio Therapeutics' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets LogicBio Therapeutics' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A two period moving average forecast for LogicBio Therapeutics is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

LogicBio Therapeutics Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of April

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of LogicBio Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 2.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.10.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LogicBio Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LogicBio Therapeutics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

LogicBio Therapeutics Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LogicBio Therapeutics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LogicBio Therapeutics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.6904
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0431
MADMean absolute deviation0.0525
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0396
SAESum of the absolute errors3.095
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of LogicBio Therapeutics price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of LogicBio Therapeutics. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for LogicBio Therapeutics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LogicBio Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LogicBio Therapeutics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.072.072.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.381.382.28
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as LogicBio Therapeutics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against LogicBio Therapeutics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, LogicBio Therapeutics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in LogicBio Therapeutics.

LogicBio Therapeutics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LogicBio Therapeutics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LogicBio Therapeutics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LogicBio Therapeutics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

LogicBio Therapeutics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LogicBio Therapeutics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LogicBio Therapeutics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LogicBio Therapeutics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify LogicBio Therapeutics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

LogicBio Therapeutics Risk Indicators

The analysis of LogicBio Therapeutics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LogicBio Therapeutics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting logicbio stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
Note that the LogicBio Therapeutics information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other LogicBio Therapeutics' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.

Other Consideration for investing in LogicBio Stock

If you are still planning to invest in LogicBio Therapeutics check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the LogicBio Therapeutics' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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