Livent Corp Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

LTHMDelisted Stock  USD 16.51  0.98  5.60%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Livent Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 18.74 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.60  and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.90. Livent Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Livent Corp stock prices and determine the direction of Livent Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Livent Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
  
Most investors in Livent Corp cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Livent Corp's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Livent Corp's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Livent Corp polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Livent Corp as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Livent Corp Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of April

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Livent Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 18.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60, mean absolute percentage error of 0.63, and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.90.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Livent Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Livent Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Livent Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Livent Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Livent Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.6473
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6048
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0384
SAESum of the absolute errors36.8955
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Livent Corp historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Livent Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Livent Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Livent Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.5116.5116.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.7113.7118.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
15.6216.9518.28
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Livent Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Livent Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Livent Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Livent Corp.

Livent Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Livent Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Livent Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Livent Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Livent Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Livent Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Livent Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Livent Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Livent Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Livent Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Livent Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Livent Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting livent stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Livent Corp in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Livent Corp's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Livent Corp options trading.

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Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
Note that the Livent Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Livent Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.

Other Consideration for investing in Livent Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Livent Corp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Livent Corp's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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