Lululemon Athletica Stock Forecast - Semi Variance
| LULU Stock | USD 334.76 1.37 0.41% |
Lululemon Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Lululemon Athletica stock prices and determine the direction of Lululemon Athletica's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Lululemon Athletica's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Lululemon Athletica's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Lululemon Athletica's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Lululemon Athletica fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lululemon Athletica to cross-verify your projections. Lululemon |
Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Lululemon Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Lululemon Athletica's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Lululemon Athletica's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Lululemon Athletica stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Lululemon Athletica's open interest, investors have to compare it to Lululemon Athletica's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Lululemon Athletica is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Lululemon. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Lululemon Athletica cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Lululemon Athletica's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Lululemon Athletica's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
| Check Lululemon Athletica Volatility | Backtest Lululemon Athletica | Information Ratio |
Lululemon Athletica Trading Date Momentum
| On April 15 2024 Lululemon Athletica was traded for 334.76 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 343.75 and the lowest listed price was 334.53 . The trading volume for the day was 2.3 M. The trading history from April 15, 2024 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 1.75% . |
| Compare Lululemon Athletica to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Lululemon Athletica
For every potential investor in Lululemon, whether a beginner or expert, Lululemon Athletica's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lululemon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lululemon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lululemon Athletica's price trends.Lululemon Athletica Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lululemon Athletica stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lululemon Athletica could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lululemon Athletica by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lululemon Athletica Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lululemon Athletica's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lululemon Athletica's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
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| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Lululemon Athletica Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lululemon Athletica stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lululemon Athletica shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lululemon Athletica stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lululemon Athletica entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 60747.88 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.15) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 339.14 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 337.68 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (5.06) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.37) |
Lululemon Athletica Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lululemon Athletica's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lululemon Athletica's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lululemon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.5 | |||
| Variance | 6.27 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Lululemon Athletica Investors Sentiment
The influence of Lululemon Athletica's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Lululemon. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Lululemon Athletica's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lululemon. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lululemon can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lululemon Athletica. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Lululemon Athletica's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Lululemon Athletica's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Lululemon Athletica's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Lululemon Athletica.
Lululemon Athletica Implied Volatility | 106.47 |
Lululemon Athletica's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lululemon Athletica stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lululemon Athletica's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lululemon Athletica stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lululemon Athletica's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Lululemon Athletica in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Lululemon Athletica's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Lululemon Athletica options trading.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lululemon Athletica to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Lululemon Stock please use our How to Invest in Lululemon Athletica guide.You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Complementary Tools for Lululemon Stock analysis
When running Lululemon Athletica's price analysis, check to measure Lululemon Athletica's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lululemon Athletica is operating at the current time. Most of Lululemon Athletica's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lululemon Athletica's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lululemon Athletica's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lululemon Athletica to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Lululemon Athletica's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lululemon Athletica. If investors know Lululemon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lululemon Athletica listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.639 | Earnings Share 12.2 | Revenue Per Share 75.906 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.156 | Return On Assets 0.2173 |
The market value of Lululemon Athletica is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lululemon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lululemon Athletica's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lululemon Athletica's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lululemon Athletica's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lululemon Athletica's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lululemon Athletica's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lululemon Athletica is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lululemon Athletica's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.