Lixiang Education Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

LXEH Stock  USD 0.41  0.03  6.82%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Lixiang Education Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 3.67 with a mean absolute deviation of  1.20  and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.49. Lixiang Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Lixiang Education stock prices and determine the direction of Lixiang Education Holding's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Lixiang Education's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Lixiang Education's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Lixiang Education's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Lixiang Education fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lixiang Education to cross-verify your projections.
  
The Lixiang Education's current Fixed Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 0.62, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to 38.76. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 12.7 M. The current Net Loss is estimated to decrease to about (7.4 M).
Most investors in Lixiang Education cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Lixiang Education's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Lixiang Education's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Lixiang Education Holding is based on a synthetically constructed Lixiang Educationdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Lixiang Education 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Lixiang Education Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 3.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.20, mean absolute percentage error of 3.35, and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.49.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lixiang Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lixiang Education's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lixiang Education Stock Forecast Pattern

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Lixiang Education Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lixiang Education's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lixiang Education's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 17.15, respectively. We have considered Lixiang Education's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.41
3.67
Expected Value
17.15
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lixiang Education stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lixiang Education stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria84.4002
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.2921
MADMean absolute deviation1.2022
MAPEMean absolute percentage error1.5244
SAESum of the absolute errors50.493
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Lixiang Education Holding 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Lixiang Education

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lixiang Education Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lixiang Education's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.3413.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.3913.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-0.144.218.56
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lixiang Education. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lixiang Education's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lixiang Education's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lixiang Education Holding.

Other Forecasting Options for Lixiang Education

For every potential investor in Lixiang, whether a beginner or expert, Lixiang Education's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lixiang Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lixiang. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lixiang Education's price trends.

Lixiang Education Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lixiang Education stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lixiang Education could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lixiang Education by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lixiang Education Holding Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lixiang Education's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lixiang Education's current price.

Lixiang Education Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lixiang Education stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lixiang Education shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lixiang Education stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lixiang Education Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lixiang Education Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lixiang Education's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lixiang Education's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lixiang stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Lixiang Education Holding offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Lixiang Education's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Lixiang Education Holding Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Lixiang Education Holding Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lixiang Education to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Lixiang Education Holding information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Lixiang Education's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

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When running Lixiang Education's price analysis, check to measure Lixiang Education's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lixiang Education is operating at the current time. Most of Lixiang Education's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lixiang Education's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lixiang Education's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lixiang Education to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Lixiang Education's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lixiang Education. If investors know Lixiang will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lixiang Education listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.23)
Earnings Share
(0.24)
Revenue Per Share
15.726
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.142
Return On Assets
(0.02)
The market value of Lixiang Education Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lixiang that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lixiang Education's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lixiang Education's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lixiang Education's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lixiang Education's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lixiang Education's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lixiang Education is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lixiang Education's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.