GLOBAL QUALITY Mutual Fund Forecast - Polynomial Regression

MGQIX Fund  USD 16.56  0.06  0.36%   
GLOBAL Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast GLOBAL QUALITY stock prices and determine the direction of GLOBAL QUALITY PORTFOLIO's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of GLOBAL QUALITY historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GLOBAL QUALITY to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in GLOBAL QUALITY cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the GLOBAL QUALITY's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets GLOBAL QUALITY's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
GLOBAL QUALITY polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for GLOBAL QUALITY PORTFOLIO as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

GLOBAL QUALITY Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of June

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of GLOBAL QUALITY PORTFOLIO on the next trading day is expected to be 16.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.019795, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.82.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GLOBAL Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GLOBAL QUALITY's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

GLOBAL QUALITY Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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GLOBAL QUALITY Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting GLOBAL QUALITY's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GLOBAL QUALITY's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.62 and 17.32, respectively. We have considered GLOBAL QUALITY's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 16.56
16.47
Expected Value
17.32
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GLOBAL QUALITY mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GLOBAL QUALITY mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.1882
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1117
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0069
SAESum of the absolute errors6.8152
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the GLOBAL QUALITY historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for GLOBAL QUALITY

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GLOBAL QUALITY PORTFOLIO. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of GLOBAL QUALITY's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of GLOBAL QUALITY in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.7216.5717.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.9017.8818.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
16.3216.5416.76
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GLOBAL QUALITY. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GLOBAL QUALITY's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GLOBAL QUALITY's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in GLOBAL QUALITY PORTFOLIO.

Other Forecasting Options for GLOBAL QUALITY

For every potential investor in GLOBAL, whether a beginner or expert, GLOBAL QUALITY's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GLOBAL Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GLOBAL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GLOBAL QUALITY's price trends.

GLOBAL QUALITY Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GLOBAL QUALITY mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GLOBAL QUALITY could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GLOBAL QUALITY by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Morningstar UnconstrainedHIGH-YIELD MUNICIPAL FUNDBondbloxx ETF TrustAMPLAmerican AirlinesAlcoa CorpApple IncBest BuyCitigroupSentinelOneCVS Health CorpChevron CorpHome DepotInternational BusinessIntel
 Risk & Return  Correlation

GLOBAL QUALITY PORTFOLIO Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of GLOBAL QUALITY's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of GLOBAL QUALITY's current price.

GLOBAL QUALITY Risk Indicators

The analysis of GLOBAL QUALITY's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GLOBAL QUALITY's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting GLOBAL QUALITY stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in GLOBAL QUALITY without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GLOBAL QUALITY to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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When running GLOBAL QUALITY's price analysis, check to measure GLOBAL QUALITY's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GLOBAL QUALITY is operating at the current time. Most of GLOBAL QUALITY's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GLOBAL QUALITY's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GLOBAL QUALITY's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GLOBAL QUALITY to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between GLOBAL QUALITY's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GLOBAL QUALITY is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GLOBAL QUALITY's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GLOBAL QUALITY to cross-verify your projections.
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