Minim Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| MINM Stock | USD 3.61 0.07 1.98% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Minim Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 3.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.89. Minim Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Minim stock prices and determine the direction of Minim Inc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Minim's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Minim's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Minim's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Minim fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Minim to cross-verify your projections. Minim |
Most investors in Minim cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Minim's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Minim's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A naive forecasting model for Minim is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Minim Inc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period. Minim Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of April
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Minim Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 3.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47, mean absolute percentage error of 0.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.89.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Minim Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Minim's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Minim Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Minim | Minim Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Minim Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Minim's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Minim's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 17.74, respectively. We have considered Minim's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Minim stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Minim stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.1543 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4736 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0978 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 28.8901 |
Predictive Modules for Minim
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Minim Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Minim's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Minim
For every potential investor in Minim, whether a beginner or expert, Minim's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Minim Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Minim. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Minim's price trends.Minim Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Minim stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Minim could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Minim by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Minim Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Minim's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Minim's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Minim Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Minim stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Minim shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Minim stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Minim Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Minim Risk Indicators
The analysis of Minim's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Minim's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting minim stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 9.4 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 8.13 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 13.58 | |||
| Variance | 184.53 | |||
| Downside Variance | 76.87 | |||
| Semi Variance | 66.09 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (12.80) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Minim to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Complementary Tools for Minim Stock analysis
When running Minim's price analysis, check to measure Minim's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Minim is operating at the current time. Most of Minim's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Minim's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Minim's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Minim to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Alpha Finder Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk | |
| Price Exposure Probability Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets | |
| Efficient Frontier Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market. | |
| AI Investment Finder Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities | |
| Risk-Return Analysis View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume | |
| Money Managers Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world | |
| Pair Correlation Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments | |
| Share Portfolio Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device | |
| Watchlist Optimization Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm | |
| Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk | |
| Price Ceiling Movement Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments | |
| Portfolio Analyzer Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine |
Is Minim's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Minim. If investors know Minim will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Minim listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (9.08) | Revenue Per Share 13.444 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.86) | Return On Assets (0.50) | Return On Equity (2.14) |
The market value of Minim Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Minim that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Minim's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Minim's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Minim's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Minim's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Minim's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Minim is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Minim's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.