Altria Stock Forecast - Market Facilitation Index
| MO Stock | USD 41.10 0.35 0.86% |
Altria Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Altria stock prices and determine the direction of Altria Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Altria's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Altria's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Altria's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Altria fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Altria to cross-verify your projections. Altria |
Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Altria Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Altria's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Altria's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Altria stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Altria's open interest, investors have to compare it to Altria's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Altria is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Altria. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Altria cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Altria's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Altria's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Market Facilitation Index is simply a difference between period high and low prices divided by period trading volume.| Check Altria Volatility | Backtest Altria | Information Ratio |
Altria Trading Date Momentum
| On April 17 2024 Altria Group was traded for 41.10 at the closing time. The highest price during the trading period was 41.22 and the lowest recorded bid was listed for 40.74 . The volume for the day was 8.8 M. This history from April 17, 2024 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to the current price is 0.22% . |
Market Facilitation Index was developed by Dr. Bill Williams. This indicator can help to determine either strong or week signal that can follow the current trend line by looking at how Market Facilitation index correlates with trading volume over time.
| Compare Altria to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Altria
For every potential investor in Altria, whether a beginner or expert, Altria's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Altria Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Altria. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Altria's price trends.Altria Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Altria stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Altria could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Altria by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Altria Group Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Altria's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Altria's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Altria Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Altria stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Altria shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Altria stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Altria Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Altria Risk Indicators
The analysis of Altria's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Altria's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting altria stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8893 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Variance | 1.72 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.55 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.49 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.93) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Altria to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Complementary Tools for Altria Stock analysis
When running Altria's price analysis, check to measure Altria's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Altria is operating at the current time. Most of Altria's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Altria's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Altria's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Altria to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Altria's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Altria. If investors know Altria will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Altria listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.23) | Dividend Share 3.84 | Earnings Share 4.57 | Revenue Per Share 11.537 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of Altria Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Altria that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Altria's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Altria's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Altria's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Altria's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Altria's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Altria is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Altria's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.