MPLX LP Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

MPLX Stock  USD 41.31  0.43  1.05%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of MPLX LP on the next trading day is expected to be 40.77 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.51  and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.68. MPLX Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast MPLX LP stock prices and determine the direction of MPLX LP's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of MPLX LP's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although MPLX LP's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of MPLX LP's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of MPLX LP fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MPLX LP to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy MPLX Stock please use our How to Invest in MPLX LP guide.
  
Payables Turnover is likely to rise to 40.22 in 2024, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 25.92 in 2024. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to rise to about 4.6 B in 2024, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 540.4 M in 2024.

Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 MPLX Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast MPLX LP's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in MPLX LP's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for MPLX LP stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current MPLX LP's open interest, investors have to compare it to MPLX LP's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of MPLX LP is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in MPLX. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in MPLX LP cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the MPLX LP's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets MPLX LP's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for MPLX LP is based on an artificially constructed time series of MPLX LP daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

MPLX LP 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of MPLX LP on the next trading day is expected to be 40.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51, mean absolute percentage error of 0.42, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.68.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MPLX Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MPLX LP's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

MPLX LP Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest MPLX LPMPLX LP Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

MPLX LP Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting MPLX LP's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MPLX LP's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 40.04 and 41.49, respectively. We have considered MPLX LP's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
41.31
40.77
Expected Value
41.49
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MPLX LP stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MPLX LP stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria104.3818
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.3879
MADMean absolute deviation0.5125
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0131
SAESum of the absolute errors27.675
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. MPLX LP 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for MPLX LP

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MPLX LP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MPLX LP's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.5941.3142.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.1843.7344.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
40.4440.9641.48
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
36.6840.3144.74
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as MPLX LP. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against MPLX LP's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, MPLX LP's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in MPLX LP.

Other Forecasting Options for MPLX LP

For every potential investor in MPLX, whether a beginner or expert, MPLX LP's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MPLX Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MPLX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MPLX LP's price trends.

MPLX LP Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MPLX LP stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MPLX LP could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MPLX LP by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

MPLX LP Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of MPLX LP's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of MPLX LP's current price.

MPLX LP Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MPLX LP stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MPLX LP shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MPLX LP stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MPLX LP entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

MPLX LP Risk Indicators

The analysis of MPLX LP's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MPLX LP's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mplx stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

MPLX LP Investors Sentiment

The influence of MPLX LP's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in MPLX. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to MPLX LP's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in MPLX. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding MPLX can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around MPLX LP. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
MPLX LP's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for MPLX LP's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average MPLX LP's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on MPLX LP.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards MPLX LP in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, MPLX LP's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from MPLX LP options trading.

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When determining whether MPLX LP offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of MPLX LP's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Mplx Lp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Mplx Lp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MPLX LP to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy MPLX Stock please use our How to Invest in MPLX LP guide.
You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

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Is MPLX LP's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MPLX LP. If investors know MPLX will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MPLX LP listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.412
Dividend Share
3.25
Earnings Share
3.8
Revenue Per Share
10.67
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.112
The market value of MPLX LP is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MPLX that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MPLX LP's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MPLX LP's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MPLX LP's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MPLX LP's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MPLX LP's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MPLX LP is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MPLX LP's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.