Marin Software Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

MRIN Stock  USD 0.31  0.03  10.71%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Marin Software on the next trading day is expected to be 0.31 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.01  and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.85. Marin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Marin Software stock prices and determine the direction of Marin Software's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Marin Software's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Marin Software's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Marin Software's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Marin Software fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Marin Software to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Marin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Marin Software guide.
  
At this time, Marin Software's Payables Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 28th of March 2024, Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 1.02, while Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to drop 5.62. . As of the 28th of March 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to grow to about 18.5 M, while Net Loss is likely to drop (22 M).

Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Marin Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Marin Software's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Marin Software's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Marin Software stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Marin Software's open interest, investors have to compare it to Marin Software's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Marin Software is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Marin. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Marin Software cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Marin Software's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Marin Software's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Marin Software polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Marin Software as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Marin Software Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Marin Software on the next trading day is expected to be 0.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.85.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Marin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Marin Software's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Marin Software Stock Forecast Pattern

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Marin Software Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Marin Software's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Marin Software's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 3.94, respectively. We have considered Marin Software's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.31
0.31
Expected Value
3.94
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Marin Software stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Marin Software stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.0048
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.014
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0401
SAESum of the absolute errors0.8536
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Marin Software historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Marin Software

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marin Software. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Marin Software's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.283.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.714.35
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1.822.002.22
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Marin Software. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Marin Software's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Marin Software's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Marin Software.

Other Forecasting Options for Marin Software

For every potential investor in Marin, whether a beginner or expert, Marin Software's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Marin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Marin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Marin Software's price trends.

Marin Software Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Marin Software stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Marin Software could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Marin Software by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Marin Software Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Marin Software's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Marin Software's current price.

Marin Software Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Marin Software stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Marin Software shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Marin Software stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Marin Software entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Marin Software Risk Indicators

The analysis of Marin Software's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Marin Software's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting marin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Marin Software in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Marin Software's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Marin Software options trading.

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When determining whether Marin Software offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Marin Software's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Marin Software Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Marin Software Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Marin Software to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Marin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Marin Software guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

Complementary Tools for Marin Stock analysis

When running Marin Software's price analysis, check to measure Marin Software's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marin Software is operating at the current time. Most of Marin Software's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marin Software's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marin Software's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marin Software to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Marin Software's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Marin Software. If investors know Marin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Marin Software listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.24)
Revenue Per Share
1.004
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.16)
Return On Assets
(0.40)
Return On Equity
(0.95)
The market value of Marin Software is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Marin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Marin Software's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Marin Software's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Marin Software's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Marin Software's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Marin Software's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Marin Software is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Marin Software's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.