Movella Holdings Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

MVLA Stock   0.06  0.01  17.35%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Movella Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.07 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.03  and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.75. Movella Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Movella Holdings stock prices and determine the direction of Movella Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Movella Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Movella Holdings' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Movella Holdings' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Movella Holdings fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Movella Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Movella Stock refer to our How to Trade Movella Stock guide.
  
At present, Movella Holdings' Payables Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 13.00, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to 4.43. . As of March 28, 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 24.8 M. The current year's Net Loss is expected to grow to about (30 M).
Most investors in Movella Holdings cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Movella Holdings' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Movella Holdings' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A two period moving average forecast for Movella Holdings is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Movella Holdings Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Movella Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.75.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Movella Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Movella Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Movella Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

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Movella Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Movella Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Movella Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0006 and 13.57, respectively. We have considered Movella Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.06
0.0006
Downside
0.07
Expected Value
13.57
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Movella Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Movella Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.198
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0144
MADMean absolute deviation0.0297
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1219
SAESum of the absolute errors1.7499
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Movella Holdings price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Movella Holdings. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Movella Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Movella Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Movella Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0413.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.7714.27
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
2.622.883.20
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.010.010.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Movella Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Movella Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Movella Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Movella Holdings.

Other Forecasting Options for Movella Holdings

For every potential investor in Movella, whether a beginner or expert, Movella Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Movella Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Movella. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Movella Holdings' price trends.

Movella Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Movella Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Movella Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Movella Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Movella Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Movella Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Movella Holdings' current price.

Movella Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Movella Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Movella Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Movella Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Movella Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Movella Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Movella Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Movella Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting movella stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Movella Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Movella Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Movella Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Movella Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Movella Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Movella Stock refer to our How to Trade Movella Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.

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When running Movella Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Movella Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Movella Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Movella Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Movella Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Movella Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Movella Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Movella Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Movella Holdings. If investors know Movella will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Movella Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
2.9
Revenue Per Share
1.365
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
Return On Assets
(0.10)
Return On Equity
(0.26)
The market value of Movella Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Movella that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Movella Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Movella Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Movella Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Movella Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Movella Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Movella Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Movella Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.