Voya Multi Mutual Fund Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

NARCX Fund  USD 51.83  0.09  0.17%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Voya Multi Manager International on the next trading day is expected to be 51.82 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.29  and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.25. Voya Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Voya Multi stock prices and determine the direction of Voya Multi Manager International's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Voya Multi's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Voya Multi to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Voya Multi cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, fund markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Voya Multi's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Voya Multi's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Triple exponential smoothing for Voya Multi - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Voya Multi prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Voya Multi price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Voya Multi Manager.

Voya Multi Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of April

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Voya Multi Manager International on the next trading day is expected to be 51.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.25.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Voya Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Voya Multi's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Voya Multi Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Voya Multi Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Voya Multi's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Voya Multi's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 51.13 and 52.51, respectively. We have considered Voya Multi's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
51.83
51.82
Expected Value
52.51
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Voya Multi mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Voya Multi mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0311
MADMean absolute deviation0.2875
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0056
SAESum of the absolute errors17.2521
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Voya Multi observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Voya Multi Manager International observations.

Predictive Modules for Voya Multi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Voya Multi Manager. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Voya Multi's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
51.1451.8352.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
51.0751.7652.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
51.3051.7352.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Voya Multi. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Voya Multi's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Voya Multi's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Voya Multi Manager.

Other Forecasting Options for Voya Multi

For every potential investor in Voya, whether a beginner or expert, Voya Multi's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Voya Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Voya. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Voya Multi's price trends.

Voya Multi Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Voya Multi mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Voya Multi could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Voya Multi by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Voya Multi Manager Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Voya Multi's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Voya Multi's current price.

Voya Multi Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Voya Multi mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Voya Multi shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Voya Multi mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Voya Multi Manager International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Voya Multi Risk Indicators

The analysis of Voya Multi's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Voya Multi's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting voya mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Voya Multi to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Voya Multi Manager information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Voya Multi's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Voya Multi's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Voya Multi is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Voya Multi's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.