Natixis Oakmark Mutual Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction

NEOYX -  USA Fund  

USD 32.38  1.00  3.00%

Natixis Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Natixis Oakmark historical stock prices and determine the direction of Natixis Oakmark's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Natixis Oakmark historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Additionally, see Historical Fundamental Analysis of Natixis Oakmark to cross-verify your projections.

Natixis Mutual Fund Forecast 

 
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Most investors in Natixis Oakmark cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Natixis Oakmark's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Natixis Oakmark's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A naive forecasting model for Natixis Oakmark is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Natixis Oakmark value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Natixis Oakmark Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Natixis Oakmark on the next trading day is expected to be 32.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.48. Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Natixis Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Natixis Oakmark's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Natixis Oakmark Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Natixis Oakmark Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Natixis Oakmark's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Natixis Oakmark's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 31.44 and 33.24, respectively. We have considered Natixis Oakmark's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
32.38
29th of November 2021
32.34
Expected Value
33.24
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Natixis Oakmark mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Natixis Oakmark mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.4174
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2046
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0063
SAESum of the absolute errors12.4809
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Natixis Oakmark. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Natixis Oakmark. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Natixis Oakmark

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Natixis Oakmark. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Natixis Oakmark's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Natixis Oakmark in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
31.4832.3833.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
31.5132.4133.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Natixis Oakmark. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Natixis Oakmark's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Natixis Oakmark's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Natixis Oakmark.

Other Forecasting Options for Natixis Oakmark

For every potential investor in Natixis, whether a beginner or expert, Natixis Oakmark's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Natixis Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Natixis. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Natixis Oakmark's price trends.

View Currently Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Natixis Oakmark mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Natixis Oakmark could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Natixis Oakmark by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.

Natixis Oakmark Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Natixis Oakmark's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Natixis Oakmark's current price.

Natixis Oakmark Risk Indicators

The analysis of Natixis Oakmark's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Natixis Oakmark's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Natixis Oakmark stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Natixis Oakmark Investors Sentiment

The influence of Natixis Oakmark's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Natixis. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Natixis Oakmark in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Natixis Oakmark's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Natixis Oakmark options trading.

Current Sentiment - NEOYX

Natixis Oakmark Investor Sentiment

Macroaxis portfolio users are evenly split in their trading attitude regarding investing in Natixis Oakmark. What is your trading attitude regarding investing in Natixis Oakmark? Are you bullish or bearish?
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Bearish
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50% Bearish
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Additionally, see Historical Fundamental Analysis of Natixis Oakmark to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Natixis Oakmark information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Natixis Oakmark's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

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When running Natixis Oakmark price analysis, check to measure Natixis Oakmark's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natixis Oakmark is operating at the current time. Most of Natixis Oakmark's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natixis Oakmark's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natixis Oakmark's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natixis Oakmark to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Natixis Oakmark's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Natixis Oakmark value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Natixis Oakmark's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.