Nabors Energy Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nabors Energy Transition on the next trading day is expected to be 9.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.18. Nabors Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Nabors Energy stock prices and determine the direction of Nabors Energy Transition's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nabors Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate. Nabors |
Most investors in Nabors Energy cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Nabors Energy's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Nabors Energy's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Triple exponential smoothing for Nabors Energy - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Nabors Energy prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Nabors Energy price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Nabors Energy Transition. Nabors Energy Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of April
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nabors Energy Transition on the next trading day is expected to be 9.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 1.86, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.18.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nabors Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nabors Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Nabors Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Nabors Energy | Nabors Energy Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nabors Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nabors Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1792 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2743 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 9.223372036854776E14 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.182 |
Predictive Modules for Nabors Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nabors Energy Transition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nabors Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nabors Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nabors Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nabors Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nabors Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Nabors Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of Nabors Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nabors Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nabors stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.459 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.32 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.42 | |||
| Variance | 2.03 | |||
| Downside Variance | 10.16 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.73 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.83) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Other Consideration for investing in Nabors Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Nabors Energy Transition check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Nabors Energy's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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