Nemaura Medical Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

NMRDDelisted Stock  USD 0.08  0.01  12.09%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nemaura Medical on the next trading day is expected to be 0.08 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.02  and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.06. Nemaura Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Nemaura Medical stock prices and determine the direction of Nemaura Medical's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nemaura Medical's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
  
Most investors in Nemaura Medical cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Nemaura Medical's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Nemaura Medical's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A naive forecasting model for Nemaura Medical is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Nemaura Medical value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Nemaura Medical Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of April

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nemaura Medical on the next trading day is expected to be 0.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0005, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.06.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nemaura Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nemaura Medical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nemaura Medical Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nemaura Medical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nemaura Medical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.5127
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0173
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0885
SAESum of the absolute errors1.0559
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Nemaura Medical. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Nemaura Medical. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Nemaura Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nemaura Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nemaura Medical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.080.080.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.080.080.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nemaura Medical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nemaura Medical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nemaura Medical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Nemaura Medical.

View Nemaura Medical Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nemaura Medical Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nemaura Medical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nemaura Medical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nemaura Medical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nemaura Medical entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nemaura Medical Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nemaura Medical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nemaura Medical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nemaura stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Nemaura Medical in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Nemaura Medical's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Nemaura Medical options trading.

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Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

Other Consideration for investing in Nemaura Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Nemaura Medical check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Nemaura Medical's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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