Natixis Sustainable Mutual Fund Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

NSFDX -  USA Fund  

USD 10.16  0.02  0.20%

Natixis Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Natixis Sustainable historical stock prices and determine the direction of Natixis Sustainable Future's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Natixis Sustainable historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Additionally, see Historical Fundamental Analysis of Natixis Sustainable to cross-verify your projections.

Natixis Mutual Fund Forecast 

 
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Most investors in Natixis Sustainable cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Natixis Sustainable's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Natixis Sustainable's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Natixis Sustainable Future is based on a synthetically constructed Natixis Sustainabledaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Natixis Sustainable 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Natixis Sustainable Future on the next trading day is expected to be 10.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.014755, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.54. Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Natixis Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Natixis Sustainable's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Natixis Sustainable Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Natixis Sustainable Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Natixis Sustainable's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Natixis Sustainable's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.94 and 10.71, respectively. We have considered Natixis Sustainable's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.16
1st of December 2021
10.32
Expected Value
10.71
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Natixis Sustainable mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Natixis Sustainable mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria77.1368
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0434
MADMean absolute deviation0.1107
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0108
SAESum of the absolute errors4.5405
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Natixis Sustainable 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Natixis Sustainable

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Natixis Sustainable. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Natixis Sustainable's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Natixis Sustainable in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
9.7710.1610.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
9.1411.0911.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.1410.3010.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Natixis Sustainable. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Natixis Sustainable's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Natixis Sustainable's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Natixis Sustainable.

Other Forecasting Options for Natixis Sustainable

For every potential investor in Natixis, whether a beginner or expert, Natixis Sustainable's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Natixis Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Natixis. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Natixis Sustainable's price trends.

View Currently Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Natixis Sustainable mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Natixis Sustainable could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Natixis Sustainable by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.

Natixis Sustainable Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Natixis Sustainable's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Natixis Sustainable's current price.

Natixis Sustainable Risk Indicators

The analysis of Natixis Sustainable's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Natixis Sustainable's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Natixis Sustainable stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Natixis Sustainable Investors Sentiment

The influence of Natixis Sustainable's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Natixis. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Natixis Sustainable in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Natixis Sustainable's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Natixis Sustainable options trading.

Current Sentiment - NSFDX

Natixis Sustainable Investor Sentiment

Macroaxis portfolio users are evenly split in their trading attitude regarding investing in Natixis Sustainable Future. What is your trading attitude regarding investing in Natixis Sustainable Future? Are you bullish or bearish?
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Bearish
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Additionally, see Historical Fundamental Analysis of Natixis Sustainable to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Natixis Sustainable information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Natixis Sustainable's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between Natixis Sustainable's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Natixis Sustainable value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Natixis Sustainable's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.