Nortech Systems Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

NSYS Stock  USD 13.35  0.14  1.06%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Nortech Systems Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 12.85 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.59  and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.39. Nortech Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Nortech Systems stock prices and determine the direction of Nortech Systems Incorporated's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nortech Systems' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Nortech Systems' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Nortech Systems' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Nortech Systems fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nortech Systems to cross-verify your projections.
  
At this time, Nortech Systems' Payables Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is likely to gain to 7.19 in 2024, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 3.95 in 2024. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 1.9 M in 2024, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 2.9 M in 2024.
Most investors in Nortech Systems cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Nortech Systems' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Nortech Systems' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Nortech Systems is based on an artificially constructed time series of Nortech Systems daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Nortech Systems 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Nortech Systems Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 12.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59, mean absolute percentage error of 0.70, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.39.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nortech Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nortech Systems' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nortech Systems Stock Forecast Pattern

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Nortech Systems Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nortech Systems' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nortech Systems' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.29 and 17.42, respectively. We have considered Nortech Systems' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13.35
12.85
Expected Value
17.42
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nortech Systems stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nortech Systems stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.0501
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.2979
MADMean absolute deviation0.5922
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0502
SAESum of the absolute errors31.3888
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Nortech Systems Incorporated 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Nortech Systems

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nortech Systems rporated. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nortech Systems' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.1212.7217.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.7810.3814.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
13.0813.5113.94
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nortech Systems. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nortech Systems' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nortech Systems' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Nortech Systems rporated.

Other Forecasting Options for Nortech Systems

For every potential investor in Nortech, whether a beginner or expert, Nortech Systems' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nortech Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nortech. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nortech Systems' price trends.

Nortech Systems Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nortech Systems stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nortech Systems could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nortech Systems by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nortech Systems rporated Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nortech Systems' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nortech Systems' current price.

Nortech Systems Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nortech Systems stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nortech Systems shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nortech Systems stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nortech Systems Incorporated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nortech Systems Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nortech Systems' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nortech Systems' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nortech stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Nortech Systems rporated is a strong investment it is important to analyze Nortech Systems' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Nortech Systems' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Nortech Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nortech Systems to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.

Complementary Tools for Nortech Stock analysis

When running Nortech Systems' price analysis, check to measure Nortech Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nortech Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Nortech Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nortech Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nortech Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nortech Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Nortech Systems' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nortech Systems. If investors know Nortech will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nortech Systems listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.21)
Earnings Share
2.38
Revenue Per Share
51.185
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.012
Return On Assets
0.0514
The market value of Nortech Systems rporated is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nortech that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nortech Systems' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nortech Systems' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nortech Systems' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nortech Systems' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nortech Systems' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nortech Systems is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nortech Systems' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.