Realty Income Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

O Stock  USD 63.37  0.49  0.78%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Realty Income Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 62.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.87 and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.95. Realty Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Realty Income's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Realty Income's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Realty Income fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Realty Income's Inventory Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 16th of June 2024, Payables Turnover is likely to grow to 5.00, while Receivables Turnover is likely to drop 1.49. . As of the 16th of June 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to grow to about 727.7 M. Also, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to grow to about 915.9 M.

Open Interest Against 2024-06-21 Realty Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Realty Income's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Realty Income's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Realty Income stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Realty Income's open interest, investors have to compare it to Realty Income's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Realty Income is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Realty. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Realty Income cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Realty Income's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Realty Income's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Realty Income is based on an artificially constructed time series of Realty Income daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Realty Income 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 17th of June 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Realty Income Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 62.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.87, mean absolute percentage error of 1.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.95.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Realty Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Realty Income's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Realty Income Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Realty IncomeRealty Income Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Realty Income stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Realty Income stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.4915
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0791
MADMean absolute deviation0.8671
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0144
SAESum of the absolute errors45.9537
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Realty Income Corp 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Realty Income

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Realty Income Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Realty Income's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
63.3763.3763.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
59.2859.2869.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
58.0260.6163.20
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
57.6663.3670.33
Details

Realty Income Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Realty Income stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Realty Income could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Realty Income by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Realty Income Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Realty Income stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Realty Income shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Realty Income stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Realty Income Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Realty Income Risk Indicators

The analysis of Realty Income's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Realty Income's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting realty stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Realty Stock

When determining whether Realty Income Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Realty Income's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Realty Income Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Realty Income Corp Stock:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Is Retail REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Realty Income. If investors know Realty will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Realty Income listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.54)
Dividend Share
3.071
Earnings Share
1.08
Revenue Per Share
5.973
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.333
The market value of Realty Income Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Realty that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Realty Income's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Realty Income's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Realty Income's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Realty Income's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Realty Income's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Realty Income is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Realty Income's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.