Orea Mining Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

OREAF Stock  USD 0.00001  0.00  0.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Orea Mining Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00001 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.0002  and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01. Orea Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Orea Mining stock prices and determine the direction of Orea Mining Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Orea Mining's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Orea Mining to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Orea Mining cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Orea Mining's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Orea Mining's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Triple exponential smoothing for Orea Mining - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Orea Mining prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Orea Mining price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Orea Mining Corp.

Orea Mining Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 19th of April

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Orea Mining Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000139, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Orea Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Orea Mining's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Orea Mining Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Orea Mining Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Orea Mining's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Orea Mining's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00 and 126.84, respectively. We have considered Orea Mining's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.00001
0.00001
Expected Value
126.84
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Orea Mining pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Orea Mining pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 2.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation2.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.01
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Orea Mining observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Orea Mining Corp observations.

Predictive Modules for Orea Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orea Mining Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Orea Mining's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00000950.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000009650.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Orea Mining. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Orea Mining's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Orea Mining's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Orea Mining Corp.

Other Forecasting Options for Orea Mining

For every potential investor in Orea, whether a beginner or expert, Orea Mining's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Orea Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Orea. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Orea Mining's price trends.

Orea Mining Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Orea Mining pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Orea Mining could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Orea Mining by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Orea Mining Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Orea Mining's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Orea Mining's current price.

Orea Mining Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Orea Mining pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Orea Mining shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Orea Mining pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Orea Mining Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Orea Mining Risk Indicators

The analysis of Orea Mining's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Orea Mining's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting orea pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Orea Mining to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Orea Mining Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Orea Mining's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

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When running Orea Mining's price analysis, check to measure Orea Mining's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orea Mining is operating at the current time. Most of Orea Mining's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orea Mining's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orea Mining's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orea Mining to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Orea Mining's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Orea Mining is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Orea Mining's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.