PAR Technology Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

PAR Stock  USD 41.10  1.01  2.52%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of PAR Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 40.60 with a mean absolute deviation of  1.13  and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.36. PAR Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast PAR Technology stock prices and determine the direction of PAR Technology's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of PAR Technology's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although PAR Technology's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of PAR Technology's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of PAR Technology fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PAR Technology to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in PAR Stock, please use our How to Invest in PAR Technology guide.
  
At this time, PAR Technology's Inventory Turnover is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 04/23/2024, Payables Turnover is likely to grow to 13.76, while Receivables Turnover is likely to drop 3.81. . As of 04/23/2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 16.5 M. In addition to that, Net Loss is likely to grow to about (59.3 M).

Open Interest Against 2024-05-17 PAR Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast PAR Technology's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in PAR Technology's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for PAR Technology stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current PAR Technology's open interest, investors have to compare it to PAR Technology's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of PAR Technology is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in PAR. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in PAR Technology cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the PAR Technology's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets PAR Technology's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A four-period moving average forecast model for PAR Technology is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

PAR Technology 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of April

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of PAR Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 40.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13, mean absolute percentage error of 1.71, and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.36.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PAR Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PAR Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

PAR Technology Stock Forecast Pattern

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PAR Technology Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting PAR Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PAR Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 38.10 and 43.10, respectively. We have considered PAR Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
41.10
40.60
Expected Value
43.10
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PAR Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PAR Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.2968
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.2719
MADMean absolute deviation1.1292
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0257
SAESum of the absolute errors64.3625
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of PAR Technology. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for PAR Technology and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for PAR Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PAR Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PAR Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.5941.0943.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
36.9944.3346.83
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
41.7345.8650.90
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.34-0.29-0.23
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PAR Technology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PAR Technology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PAR Technology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PAR Technology.

Other Forecasting Options for PAR Technology

For every potential investor in PAR, whether a beginner or expert, PAR Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PAR Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PAR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PAR Technology's price trends.

PAR Technology Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PAR Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PAR Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PAR Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

PAR Technology Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of PAR Technology's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of PAR Technology's current price.

PAR Technology Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PAR Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PAR Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PAR Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PAR Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

PAR Technology Risk Indicators

The analysis of PAR Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PAR Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting par stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as PAR Technology using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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When determining whether PAR Technology is a strong investment it is important to analyze PAR Technology's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact PAR Technology's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding PAR Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PAR Technology to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in PAR Stock, please use our How to Invest in PAR Technology guide.
Note that the PAR Technology information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other PAR Technology's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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When running PAR Technology's price analysis, check to measure PAR Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PAR Technology is operating at the current time. Most of PAR Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PAR Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PAR Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PAR Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is PAR Technology's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PAR Technology. If investors know PAR will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about PAR Technology listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(2.53)
Revenue Per Share
15.092
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.103
Return On Assets
(0.05)
Return On Equity
(0.20)
The market value of PAR Technology is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PAR that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PAR Technology's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PAR Technology's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PAR Technology's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PAR Technology's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PAR Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PAR Technology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PAR Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.