Uipath Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

PATH Stock  USD 22.78  0.07  0.31%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Uipath Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 22.00 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.68  and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.36. Uipath Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Uipath stock prices and determine the direction of Uipath Inc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Uipath's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Uipath's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Uipath's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Uipath fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Uipath to cross-verify your projections.
  
As of now, Uipath's Asset Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. . The Uipath's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 567.1 M, while Net Loss is projected to decrease to (396.5 M).

Open Interest Against 2024-03-28 Uipath Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Uipath's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Uipath's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Uipath stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Uipath's open interest, investors have to compare it to Uipath's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Uipath is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Uipath. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Uipath cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Uipath's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Uipath's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Uipath polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Uipath Inc as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Uipath Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Uipath Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 22.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68, mean absolute percentage error of 0.82, and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.36.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Uipath Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Uipath's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Uipath Stock Forecast Pattern

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Uipath Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Uipath's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Uipath's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.02 and 24.99, respectively. We have considered Uipath's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
22.78
22.00
Expected Value
24.99
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Uipath stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Uipath stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.7542
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6832
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0287
SAESum of the absolute errors42.3588
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Uipath historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Uipath

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Uipath Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Uipath's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.8122.8025.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.1821.1724.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
22.5422.8523.17
Details
22 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
17.9919.7721.94
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Uipath. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Uipath's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Uipath's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Uipath Inc.

Other Forecasting Options for Uipath

For every potential investor in Uipath, whether a beginner or expert, Uipath's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Uipath Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Uipath. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Uipath's price trends.

Uipath Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Uipath stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Uipath could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Uipath by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Uipath Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Uipath's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Uipath's current price.

Uipath Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Uipath stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Uipath shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Uipath stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Uipath Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Uipath Risk Indicators

The analysis of Uipath's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Uipath's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting uipath stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Uipath Investors Sentiment

The influence of Uipath's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Uipath. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Uipath's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Uipath. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Uipath can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Uipath Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Uipath's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Uipath's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Uipath's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Uipath.

Uipath Implied Volatility

    
  58.2  
Uipath's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Uipath Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Uipath's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Uipath stock will not fluctuate a lot when Uipath's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Uipath in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Uipath's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Uipath options trading.

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When determining whether Uipath Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Uipath's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Uipath Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Uipath Inc Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Uipath to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

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When running Uipath's price analysis, check to measure Uipath's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Uipath is operating at the current time. Most of Uipath's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Uipath's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Uipath's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Uipath to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Uipath's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Uipath. If investors know Uipath will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Uipath listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.27)
Revenue Per Share
2.32
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.313
Return On Assets
(0.04)
Return On Equity
(0.05)
The market value of Uipath Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Uipath that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Uipath's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Uipath's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Uipath's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Uipath's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Uipath's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Uipath is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Uipath's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.