TDH Holdings Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average
| PETZ Stock | USD 1.13 0.03 2.59% |
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of TDH Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.12. TDH Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast TDH Holdings stock prices and determine the direction of TDH Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of TDH Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although TDH Holdings' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of TDH Holdings' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of TDH Holdings fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TDH Holdings to cross-verify your projections. TDH |
Most investors in TDH Holdings cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the TDH Holdings' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets TDH Holdings' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A four-period moving average forecast model for TDH Holdings is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility. TDH Holdings 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 19th of April
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of TDH Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.12.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TDH Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TDH Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
TDH Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest TDH Holdings | TDH Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
TDH Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting TDH Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TDH Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 6.29, respectively. We have considered TDH Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TDH Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TDH Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 105.6437 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0054 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0547 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.046 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.12 |
Predictive Modules for TDH Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TDH Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TDH Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for TDH Holdings
For every potential investor in TDH, whether a beginner or expert, TDH Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TDH Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TDH. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TDH Holdings' price trends.TDH Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TDH Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TDH Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TDH Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
TDH Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of TDH Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of TDH Holdings' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
TDH Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TDH Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TDH Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TDH Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TDH Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
TDH Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of TDH Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TDH Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tdh stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.25 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.58 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.05 | |||
| Variance | 25.48 | |||
| Downside Variance | 17.75 | |||
| Semi Variance | 12.83 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.63) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis
Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as TDH Holdings using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.Build Optimal Portfolios
Align your risk with return expectations
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TDH Holdings to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy TDH Stock please use our How to Invest in TDH Holdings guide.You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Complementary Tools for TDH Stock analysis
When running TDH Holdings' price analysis, check to measure TDH Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TDH Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of TDH Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TDH Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TDH Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TDH Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Positions Ratings Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Risk-Return Analysis View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume | |
| AI Portfolio Architect Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities | |
| Portfolio Suggestion Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios | |
| Price Exposure Probability Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets |
Is TDH Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TDH Holdings. If investors know TDH will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TDH Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 0.2 | Revenue Per Share 0.318 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.07 | Return On Assets (0.03) | Return On Equity 0.1047 |
The market value of TDH Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TDH that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TDH Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TDH Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TDH Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TDH Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TDH Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TDH Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TDH Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.