Playtech PLC Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

PYTCY Stock  USD 19.38  0.00  0.00%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Playtech PLC ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 19.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.94. Playtech Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Playtech PLC polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Playtech PLC ADR as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Playtech PLC Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 8th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Playtech PLC ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 19.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46, mean absolute percentage error of 0.34, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.94.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Playtech Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Playtech PLC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Playtech PLC Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Playtech PLC Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Playtech PLC's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Playtech PLC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.87 and 21.34, respectively. We have considered Playtech PLC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
19.38
19.11
Expected Value
21.34
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Playtech PLC pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Playtech PLC pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.0227
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4581
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0264
SAESum of the absolute errors27.9433
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Playtech PLC historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Playtech PLC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Playtech PLC ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Playtech PLC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.1319.3821.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.7716.0221.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
19.3819.3819.38
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Playtech PLC

For every potential investor in Playtech, whether a beginner or expert, Playtech PLC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Playtech Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Playtech. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Playtech PLC's price trends.

Playtech PLC Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Playtech PLC pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Playtech PLC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Playtech PLC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Playtech PLC ADR Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Playtech PLC's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Playtech PLC's current price.

Playtech PLC Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Playtech PLC pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Playtech PLC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Playtech PLC pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Playtech PLC ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Playtech PLC Risk Indicators

The analysis of Playtech PLC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Playtech PLC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting playtech pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Playtech Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Playtech PLC's price analysis, check to measure Playtech PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Playtech PLC is operating at the current time. Most of Playtech PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Playtech PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Playtech PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Playtech PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.