TheRealReal Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| REAL Stock | USD 3.31 0.21 6.77% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of TheRealReal on the next trading day is expected to be 3.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.26. TheRealReal Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast TheRealReal stock prices and determine the direction of TheRealReal's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of TheRealReal's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although TheRealReal's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of TheRealReal's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of TheRealReal fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TheRealReal to cross-verify your projections. TheRealReal |
Open Interest Against 2024-05-17 TheRealReal Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast TheRealReal's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in TheRealReal's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for TheRealReal stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current TheRealReal's open interest, investors have to compare it to TheRealReal's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of TheRealReal is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in TheRealReal. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in TheRealReal cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the TheRealReal's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets TheRealReal's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through TheRealReal price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X. TheRealReal Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of April
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of TheRealReal on the next trading day is expected to be 3.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43, mean absolute percentage error of 0.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.26.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TheRealReal Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TheRealReal's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
TheRealReal Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest TheRealReal | TheRealReal Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
TheRealReal Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting TheRealReal's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TheRealReal's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 12.56, respectively. We have considered TheRealReal's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TheRealReal stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TheRealReal stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.7607 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4305 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1665 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 26.2628 |
Predictive Modules for TheRealReal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TheRealReal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TheRealReal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for TheRealReal
For every potential investor in TheRealReal, whether a beginner or expert, TheRealReal's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TheRealReal Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TheRealReal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TheRealReal's price trends.TheRealReal Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TheRealReal stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TheRealReal could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TheRealReal by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
TheRealReal Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of TheRealReal's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of TheRealReal's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
TheRealReal Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TheRealReal stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TheRealReal shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TheRealReal stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TheRealReal entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
TheRealReal Risk Indicators
The analysis of TheRealReal's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TheRealReal's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting therealreal stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.44 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.37 | |||
| Variance | 70.06 | |||
| Downside Variance | 15.24 | |||
| Semi Variance | 10.2 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.86) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards TheRealReal in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, TheRealReal's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from TheRealReal options trading.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether TheRealReal is a strong investment it is important to analyze TheRealReal's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact TheRealReal's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding TheRealReal Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TheRealReal to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy TheRealReal Stock please use our How to buy in TheRealReal Stock guide.Note that the TheRealReal information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other TheRealReal's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for TheRealReal Stock analysis
When running TheRealReal's price analysis, check to measure TheRealReal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TheRealReal is operating at the current time. Most of TheRealReal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TheRealReal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TheRealReal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TheRealReal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Technical Analysis Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data | |
| AI Portfolio Architect Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities | |
| Portfolio Dashboard Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments | |
| Positions Ratings Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Stock Screener Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook. | |
| Portfolio Comparator Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account | |
| Content Syndication Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal |
Is TheRealReal's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TheRealReal. If investors know TheRealReal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TheRealReal listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.65) | Revenue Per Share 5.396 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.10) | Return On Assets (0.14) | Return On Equity (9.33) |
The market value of TheRealReal is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TheRealReal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TheRealReal's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TheRealReal's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TheRealReal's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TheRealReal's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TheRealReal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TheRealReal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TheRealReal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.